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AI 末日报告作者发声：市场恐慌超预期，呼吁征收AI 税以应对失业
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比推消息，《2028 年全球智能危机》报告共同作者 Alap Shah 周二公开发声，坦言市场反应远超预期，并呼吁政府对 AI 征税，以应对可能到来的大规模失业浪潮。
这位 Lotus Technology Management 首席投资官在接受彭博电视采访时警告，未来 18 个月内，AI 进步可能导致白领就业岗位减少 5%，美国在缺乏政策干预的情况下将受到最大冲击。他预计，服务密集型行业如保险和银行业面临更大风险。
Shah 表示，政府应考虑对 AI 带来的增量或意外收益征税，以抵消劳动力替代造成的影响并保护消费者需求。他认为，白领劳动力的替代会形成负反馈循环：企业裁员以提振利润率，将节省的资金再投资于 AI，从而推动进一步裁员。
《2028 年全球智能危机》是一篇基于AI 维持高速发展情况下的头脑风暴推演，其核心观点认为AI 能力继续超预期暴涨，其实反而是重大利空。报告假设 2 年后，企业使用 AI 大量取代白领工作，形成没有刹车的负反馈螺旋，导致整个建立在人很值钱基础上的经济、金融、住房信用体系被抽空，最终引发难以阻止的崩盘。
或受文章传播恐慌情绪影响，美股周一大幅回落，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌 822 点（-1.7%），标普 500 指数跌 1%，纳斯达克综合指数跌 1.1%。软件板块遭重挫，Datadog、CrowdStrike、Zscaler 跌幅均超 9%，IBM 大跌 13%，创 2000 年以来最差单日表现。美国运通、KKR、黑石等被报告点名公司亦显著回落。
Shah 坦言对市场反应感到意外：我原本预计会有小幅反应，但绝对比我们预期的要大，考虑到美国市场所处的水平，这一反应也不算太意外。AI 交易已经持续了三年半，基本上是一路直线上涨。如今人人满仓做多，增量买家不多了。
已将《2028 年全球智能危机》全文精翻内容发布于站内，用户可点击跳转查阅。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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