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[lastpost] => 2749744 当加密世界遇上“美元霸权”：USDT市值飙破1600亿美元，稳坐“稳定币之王”宝座！ 1752810655 AOU1888
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币与 3 万亿美元美国债务——现在是购买 BTC 的时候了吗？（转）
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雷·达里奥 (Ray Dalio) 警告称，美国债务可能会使与美元挂钩的财富贬值。$ J& [. |5 k/ @( i7 Z# \
加密货币领导者将财政混乱视为 BTC 的看涨催化剂。" q8 X0 j4 ^( n: l! W
比特币[BTC]随着 7 月 3 日税收和支出法案通过后美国债务问题成为头条新闻，加密货币推特上出现了大量看涨言论。
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根据 估计，预计该法案将在未来10年内增加3万多亿美元。
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但是，对冲基金桥水基金创始人雷·达利奥著名的 如果该法案按原样实施，债务可能会失控。8 c4 Z( n i& L9 S" T
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他警告说，未来10年内，普通美国家庭的债务负担可能变得难以承受。
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2 `5 ~$ ]" B, ^. N: e) L \ R) @可能的后果是什么？增税、削减ZF支出或增加印钞。这可能会削弱美元的价值，并损害那些依赖美元来保住财富的人。
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" H1 F( b% H$ N" j% S他表示，
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“这种印钞和贬值行为对于那些将债券作为财富储备的人来说并不好，而对债券和美国信贷市场不利的事情对每个人来说都是不利的。”
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* Z$ z0 j0 r3 h+ H9 O; ~BTC 的完美风暴？
/ P$ }6 h0 b1 L3 t1 A! G; G加密货币领袖声称，这种可能的财政混乱和后果正是比特币存在的原因。
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作为一种固定供应的数字资产，与美元等传统货币相比，它成为一种相对较好的价值储存手段。
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这些货币供应量无限，由各国央行随意印制。简而言之，BTC、黄金和其他稀缺商品的需求量将会很大。& g# \2 C- @# J
( z4 G( s/ s7 A& ^% _& n* |Bitwise 首席信息官 Matt Hougan 对 Dalio 的警告作出回应 敦促用户“购买比特币”。4 C$ G' M; M% f X. z2 s
* O, F5 j) t/ q k* J' d( vReal Vision 的 Raoul Pal 也赞同 Hougan 的观点，添加在这种贬值情况下，只有技术和加密货币才是更好的对冲工具。
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; v E+ y" O2 x“在长期牛市中，贬值对冲只有两种表现显著优异：科技和加密货币。”! m( j# F" b- l, _8 x
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尽管达利欧公开表示承认与拥有一些 BTC 相比，他更倾向于黄金。/ r. S8 j4 H2 B7 }. Y- m
1 G0 H& m- H/ _8 C他表示，追踪黄金价格走势更容易，尤其是在冲突期间。但他发现追踪比特币价格走势却很难，因此得出结论，比特币仍然是一种投机行为。
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然而，对贝莱德的拉里·芬克来说，BTC 是数字黄金。事实上，他警告今年 4 月，如果财政债务得不到管理，人民币很容易取代美元成为世界储备货币。
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即便如此，财政部长斯科特·贝森特淡化与支出法案相关的债务问题。
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“我们的 GDP 增长速度快于债务增长速度，这种趋势将持续到总统剩余的任期。”; ~; v2 P2 f& Z# |
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与此同时，Coinbase 分析师警告“大美丽法案”将债务上限提高了 5 万亿美元。
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6 V, M$ C; i$ i( A结果，美国财政部可能会补充（从市场借钱）其主要现金账户或TGA（国库普通账户），并挤压流动性，拖累包括BTC在内的风险资产。8 J: k! T8 K1 h% c3 {0 ?
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“TGA 的补充可能会在短期内消耗大盘的流动性，对所有风险资产构成明显的下行风险。”
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