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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。
" J' g9 P- m, y6 LRSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
& F% @: H/ R. d. Y- I比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。
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7 l z% ^% F3 J' D0 \4 q) y接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。6 W+ C K- K, h7 T# \
& d7 x: H, n7 O3 P随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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: K/ J. `/ N7 L+ q" r7 X3 g6 Z8 S市场信心[激增]？8 U" U2 ]- P1 w# @5 O
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
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2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。7 i# K) Y- e2 k
/ H" G. y$ A- h超级持有者已暂停
7 V# r. g F, l! |" u$ t尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。* z, R( b0 {. O! p% S9 j$ ^
+ E) l2 h3 G I2 W* _
根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。
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相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。! \( U. Z, @# m0 b
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即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。* x8 h8 ~/ t9 x
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。3 u# d! a! ]8 H0 o& K" N( y
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比特币显示出疲软迹象5 {# z2 i. v% v! Z F) ?$ C8 E
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。+ K0 T+ }% D/ r& r: y
# V- U" S" k# j5 q+ k& [此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。& s% P' w5 U" z$ {7 X) D; @
9 Z' K1 w7 |( a" g/ e& b尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。; b! P9 j. f) U" N5 d. F
: o6 O9 h3 H9 J- o如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。& {4 G6 ^9 a) z- L' o/ ]
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