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[lastpost] => 2752285 sol这个币最近是跌了不少了啊 1753606519 22301
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BCA Research表示,投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑,而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出,目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产,并在股票投资中降低对美国5 }! [: f9 }" S4 X/ u8 W/ ? {
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市场的权重。原因在于,海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产,担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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与此同时,BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围,并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月,BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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8 T/ E. z, U, k- J2 m% H“短期看空”比特币。
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6 y Z# X7 {1 B @8 A1 [5 E “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下,比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道,“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来,活跃交易的比特币在整体已& e- B! x+ o: ], i: Y, l9 Q
4 h7 L. w5 C# B* f8 I: e G实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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报告还指出,比特币作为“数字黄金”,正越来越像实物黄金那样表现,在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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根据Coin Metrics的数据,自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期,现货黄金上涨了8%,7 s) f" D3 q2 v" f G
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。1 |. u P# t3 y4 q. k% s7 d
+ }* V1 Q K7 T0 @6 e/ z3 }9 q BCA在报告中进一步指出:“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺,但关税政策的模糊性,已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外,“激烈的: [" y: \8 [$ [- ?0 @
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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( z8 b) y$ C# \. k: Z; I “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛,但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号,才能恢复投资。”报告写道,“若无法及时提供清晰政策,
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”4 S" n; O6 F$ q9 E' ~ K
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