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[lastpost] => 2751713 费用开关，ENA币价起飞的牛市“猛药”（转） 1753366915 洋森
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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9 C% b+ k. U6 N$ Y0 Y: x# n 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国. B7 J4 q; |$ ^) F# e0 F9 l2 Z) f
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。% `- m) T9 \6 G4 p9 G* _0 E
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与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。
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. _, N8 p& T& |) Y “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已* Q- S8 Z6 U& v
. n8 D2 N! a" Q( ~/ S- _! ] I7 @实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”: ~. ]( I8 g, v; F
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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: B+ ~4 ?8 `' z+ a2 {/ ^ 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，# G$ \4 G+ J( C! O6 C! c% N. o! c
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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- I2 l: Q1 |+ p, |, a BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的/ W; Q0 V% I: h" X! d' ^6 m4 {; J" p+ q
+ f7 l( y/ V' A/ @9 W3 S: c0 [) R
利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”5 Y5 W1 k# S* I0 K
; V9 x' B5 |7 f+ i; t& l. k. C “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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