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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份8 n0 n( ^. v2 r: b1 q
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
: J3 O2 ^9 K& Z2 ]7 B美元抛售推高比特币8 m) o5 U/ Z1 C1 a8 O/ h0 a1 B/ t1 }3 U
$ h2 y& @8 q( |2 n+ I# d0 rGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以, c) y9 \, R- o1 o
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来的最低水平。8 q% S" U" C, |3 P
7 m4 l) I5 F5 k/ T2 p9 a+ y: ]“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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) l, E# ^& V: f% l7 O, b; Y根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指' K9 i! u4 h0 p/ w0 Y/ H; }
8 b- K9 o4 e3 p( Q, V4 \
数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。7 r/ F/ o/ g" o# L7 {' J
4 v' [! G' V k: v( _5 Q; aAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推' L; a; }/ r5 }; L' g
" H( k: }$ i4 H/ J" o* w8 h高黄金和比特币的价格。! V% d* C& a E! D( R8 j; q
1 w9 K8 W z( M2 N+ R下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化) S0 r6 E% m, F9 p
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剂。$ {& x$ P& z# T
# O" u$ @& y* J! x& r H: i4 D$ o这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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% |0 l2 Z/ B4 e6 V( [这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破" e% G$ Y) ?& I, L+ u& u7 p) e8 e' B
/ s D0 @$ j; a& ^0 i
了8.7万美元。, ]+ Y& \, z. o9 T
* |! \$ [) U! j* S1 ]然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
[+ S4 Z8 Q9 M6 ?- t' k2 _
, ^+ ^, w1 ~9 x“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”3 i5 [" V9 N9 I0 W8 A& g# P
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# Y3 I @& m x% E, E! u/ m5 W分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
8 W! r. X+ P& G0 j3 [' q* J' R- y& E' J. F
“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
8 v, s+ n- Y+ n) \8 i/ Z
/ z I$ L" C4 ]& `; q+ ACryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交& v$ @. T# R c2 G0 }8 e
3 i8 S; b) S2 R+ T8 y6 A J易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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