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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753157074 AOU1888
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份0 i, I" i- b* [
: F; N$ r: H5 J/ c报告中特别强调了这一论断。
( M5 n' x% R. V9 G9 T' r8 X8 s8 S美元抛售推高比特币& H) r) o$ C M/ C
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以6 W# L# k+ ^) V' p) j7 @" o* l) m& S
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来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。” z6 E% |6 D2 t, _
8 j2 b& B* Z% Z$ p4 L- u, z9 z; Q }! @4 e) A8 y- K7 ?
根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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# S5 A" H2 k9 _8 H; J& j数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。( _7 l e2 J% {" u2 L
) [, m- {' r, `, {. \Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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! d9 [' W# K0 b4 b, M高黄金和比特币的价格。: H+ N6 b6 D* O5 B0 K1 I3 y( s
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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9 U8 o8 E/ |) o剂。
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) T3 A! i! ]6 v9 Y2 U这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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% |- `: _0 h- ?9 N. x& N9 x这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破+ k! r- s% x/ q# T# C1 ~5 Q; r
# v# p( T. E, B7 V; \/ [了8.7万美元。% E. j- L) o2 p0 I1 O2 t
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，( ^8 t8 R& R+ k! S* s
5 M. u% q1 N R* ^3 d
“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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5 p; I4 ]0 Y) @/ u, Z$ t8 S; f分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
* I# `9 ?& u+ z, K4 Q8 K) R2 ~6 U1 \& _ ?0 }- i) d
“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”+ R, V: U, G d4 P- \
9 w* O' D% {4 r: m$ A$ }/ N+ sCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交7 C* |! J2 X7 X% F# c
- O( s. f, j* G N) s G* `易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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