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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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6 w6 F! d- z% O- O
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
$ X# T& P7 D# @6 c$ p中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
$ k$ v' b1 o5 g, ^且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
h6 S+ }3 D8 r3 N& w8 X! \官员预计：2024将降息3次4 ~; k; ?1 a' f8 ~+ q' }9 \, G
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
: {; H3 e8 X" V/ W4 _' U \度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也+ k3 d0 _+ M( a0 J/ E* d" Z
已经开始讨论降息的时机。/ N0 o9 d ]2 n( G! h
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
. P9 @; z" t I8 w J% h1 I# O走高。
3 P) K% p# R5 U9 r$ R且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓; L" T4 ^5 @- F$ o6 j5 }
解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。0 o) ~; B0 F! ~4 B0 Y: _
比特币冲破4.3万
. X( ^0 G) B# F; ^受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
, W) Q2 T9 j1 `9 [% I; |" E截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
: ^2 f# M1 U l' Q8 F以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
" f4 w K. \! v9 f" r8 i* T3 Y$ s' @美股四大指数齐扬
2 Z/ N. c- T9 L: L7 S5 z" \$ {5 k回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
, N# Z- ^1 D4 d( G# N" ^+ Q0 B0 H道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点
- f/ J8 R; q: W: L! {纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点
5 n; \- G6 K& \3 u标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
; k7 d7 n0 _5 ^/ H: `费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
6 Z$ _4 m4 i$ O/ O8 N: v$ s. L美国10年债殖利率跌破4%4 p6 G7 X: m8 \9 R# \% A
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
' w3 k i4 v* Q) | D, q, a被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
. T) e' H' {' b; C6 k跌到更接近3%水平。
/ ^3 N1 x$ c8 ]8 s# L! I0 `0 `4 s
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