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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
, r) X. ?6 f7 @2 G% nISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
8 J5 l" U2 z ?! N' }/ _' r什么是ISDA？2 ~8 N$ u& A3 |. a3 b6 M( Y
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非( I N, O4 F9 s% S
营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约 m+ g$ Q( \0 ~. L
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
" ^, i7 H6 ?& L- p2 A$ G; W+ `双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市$ W( m1 j; s8 \; U( P1 s0 [4 [$ i
场的正常发展。
1 A" j& h' U3 ]& C$ e( ?- B换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。, ?0 s( n" g. M$ R
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和7 J* e1 w4 m0 _" ]0 H8 o. x. F
Digital Asset。$ k5 N3 K+ i' F5 C, n+ N
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？( F; k9 H2 S0 x
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影
?* u4 X4 j M- V2 j6 M1 z9 }4 T# D响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
+ t! P4 L" z! @! S e! u根据其推论：
|, ?! P/ c/ x! J& P现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元9 M1 ~0 {: z$ t ~4 p( g9 C! e+ h
若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
: l* i9 x: f) R/ `3 UXRP目前总市值为349亿美元
; a; \1 K# }- u: i# F. E需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
8 X4 H9 _& v' @9 k7 |5 [6 n9 i而XRP目前币价为0.661742, Z5 q. U6 G' ~1 w; E/ _' W8 x
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
2 t* E/ w A3 V# d' h挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？" S. k9 Y+ ]7 M* g/ `6 l
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
0 e" C% L9 i5 ~1 O, x# Y+ i0 _也未有极大的波动。% j) t. G9 O8 _, g& D% l" }, e
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生% g* J& b. n+ ?$ n
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这& F" e8 |- {% \& _
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢" E( A7 W" u/ h+ V) v5 I. |
引导传统金融的采用呢？
) n. l3 J8 S1 K6 ^" Y1 F% H
0 t5 K, i% D* b) j) m0 v |
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