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[lastpost] => 2813482 马斯克家族代币MUSKIt能否复制狗狗币神话？《财富》深度预测6000倍增长空间（转） 1773153505 小钱儿
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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.2 缩表为弥补去年放水 而放水初期低点其实就在5.19两万七 长线以此为据
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在大部分人认为6月的50加息+缩表、基本在5月的下行中、得到有效释放、
7 A2 X0 j1 l# C) h+ y. ^# w0 s余勋也不例外、
/ Z- `, p5 B* N( I1 _( @其中最关键的是美联储26号纪要、会灵活对待加息。
5 [2 y- h2 A- \6 V- {! t是保经济的重要决策！
6 E2 {" ]' ?! t2 U# O1 f6 N这其中美股迎来了阶段连涨、大饼也四连阳、
" o% p% M5 I, b" L& N7 P" S低点26700-32400、 2 A& G9 P# L9 k' y, H2 w l8 y, ?! Z0 N
反弹近六千点、以太低点反弹近300点。
5 d* M* @$ U5 M2 [. [但仅仅在缩表两个交易日、
2 U) C; |' H K1 K {大饼回撤幅度达到三千点、以太近200点。
. n' O6 `) `7 t涨幅就已回撤过半！
& W/ }% j8 q" {8 C所以暂时来看，期待的靴子落地效应基本告吹。 : k5 B0 e, w* D5 M- M
不是利空没有得到释放、是市场做多情绪无法调动。
$ K$ z3 j5 A- [" m' B其次、 / _* {- U/ a* e( v
缩表大致会延续至2024年初、
# h/ F$ c# D w5 t每月950亿、直至达到1.5万亿美元、
$ o* r: R5 f# M0 H5 G等于说、这期间会持续在蓄水池中进行抽水。
4 a) n/ d ]; S. Y% n& ^ D2 Z美股想大肆上行也是有心无力。
$ |% N0 D% r3 l8 r! u0 A* N! D/ r8 X5 n但回到币圈、
/ \) u) x T% p' J4 e( M去年牛市因5.19去中心化大跌、 - R8 [$ F0 _ }6 O
在27000附近。美联储大幅度在放水、迎来第二轮周期牛市。
2 D- ^- W0 c0 u; h7 W( N; D而现在弥补这个放水漏洞、而行情其实已经在放水底部附近。
; q1 {& R7 B3 x) X; _+ m5 u个人认为、在经历了加息初期、中期恐慌、
. o: D: I+ W( W' i" M+ _% x缩表虽是实质利空，但终究是缓慢的。
" w! j. ?3 p# ]8 s对当前的底部、影响有限。 - D0 q* s! ^7 @4 }8 X( q/ i& v
最不济、缩表启动至结束、行情依然处于放水初期币圈阶段。也就是当前27000-30000附近。
?6 \& ]7 X* }所以27000、即是
* C5 n/ k( G% |去年5.19低点、也是今年5.12（加息50基点+缩表恐慌低点）
$ p; F. Q& Y5 D: g" Z& O8 v5 v同时还是去年放水初期低点、
2 h% B0 Q- @' w* x: f也会是今年缩表弥补去年放水周期的低点。
3 v; e, a4 C; @0 p) i由此得出的结论是、
' O" _0 a: J9 M/ F5 Z- D r$ N: t( V加息+缩表等实质利空、市场年度最大创伤、底部就在27000附近、而以太就在1700附近。
0 `6 [6 {- [# c# ~! |2 _ g点位不会出现太大偏离。
. C! D) F$ n- e! Z9 z8 j综合以上、 8 n$ \! N6 _8 q7 l
美股逐渐消化了加息、也开启缩表缓慢抽水、
) I4 B% {$ h( B2 n; P在整个运行过程中、会由初期的恐慌、缓慢下行，逐渐适应、止跌、然后徐徐补涨。 : O1 L! D: F2 W0 @. w* Q9 I5 `
那操作上、无非缺乏了长线效应、
+ E* `/ n. J: v. F% {9 { [抬头大肆上涨、条件匮乏！下行、最大利空由当初的注水点、再到完全调离这些注入资金。低点其实也都在这附近。
9 b1 O, P: P$ A- \/ F那行情其实还是围绕三万点、进行弱势整理。
; D6 ^/ j( d" H6 z+ q$ B即难深跌、也难大涨，直至缩表有效、通胀得到控制。 ( k6 T7 X4 S4 t2 z
美股适应上行、市场逐步接受开始回暖。 7 X! r1 C# _- f. x% Z7 X, C
夜间美股走势平平、虽弱但不跌。 9 v$ l4 ?6 O2 H2 C
大饼无需追空、给一空间点位、
) K7 H# C s- i* h1 R逢28000附近、以太1720附近可做短线接多点。 9 ^7 e" F9 v5 B, r0 g/ G1 d
高空需至31700-32000间布局、 , O8 o7 O+ O) h; M
反之、空间不够、进场始终趋于震荡区中轨、
: ^8 A9 @/ X" z1 p% a/ M得不偿失。 $ `# |. v0 f+ [2 {3 Z$ Z+ \
来源：金色财经 |
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