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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 . G% q" t/ J( U m% V4 T
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其实原文标题不是这样的! G" n6 m/ f1 x0 H B% s- Z
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝... s, ?$ d4 f; J8 W5 k! x" q) T0 v
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。$ \) p: ]" Q3 H6 N; h a* H# K& F1 c
^* J* t, @/ d( G* F& Y" R* T3 s 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」. S$ B3 `, p4 F8 y8 y
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
6 C& \' S. e: m6 S' u' ?「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
7 _! O, W& A1 q ]% r* L2 [$ A& F3 W8 Q7 e6 d
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。; S3 E) p1 H1 t8 `' ?
- ?4 h/ L1 R. I/ M' B& j* d接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
1 T; }( p+ U* ^& e因此铜板较容易出现正面。
' g- o4 E- H `4 N. A长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
5 Y; I) A: m% L1 ~1 `因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
, U" N0 H% R% l6 {. W+ K) i心想赢定了。$ K9 L5 ^- D0 a7 t: s
8 F+ p4 p' X" q' M没想到开始不到半刻钟， [# I$ ]9 G/ u; E
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
3 K3 ^7 [; c; Z但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
7 I' K1 t8 Z$ d8 B# d ! F# m# C3 Q! }: G7 {, ?
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
3 s6 P3 l) b: i: H9 ^8 a他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
5 u: Z3 l; [* d「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
8 R( F2 p+ T* z' _7 p「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
0 P2 A: o( |1 k, C9 M! ~「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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, ?$ q. X( p: c' q: W0 R- S2 c3 @ 赌徒恍然大悟，0 F) E6 S! g/ F- u
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，) D3 w9 s; g, h2 O
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
, ?( a7 \" a9 @/ ], U2 I「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」& t+ `) V/ o: U v' x5 a
上帝说完便不见踪影。 & z! K& _! _0 w/ M0 ^* {' n, ]
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
% w# n8 }! @9 Y6 F6 ?1 O2 F若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，/ v. i4 t8 o# P
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
/ b+ [+ N# D3 ? b4 G对赌徒十分有利。
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3 H% V+ N' T* N5 P/ v9 k% z2 c但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，( u" l6 ~& y8 t
在还没掷到1000次之前，3 p* e2 D5 g" X2 i) Y& W# \
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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: Z' S6 R, {3 [8 d+ } 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。8 E3 E- ?/ a+ R% p. B. M
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ ! G8 T. |" s) m+ \
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