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[lastpost] => 2787907 会员前程似锦好运来2025年12月8日在YZ存款7070.5元 1765255961 前程似锦好运来
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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
5 d' u5 _- b- a6 A
6 s$ C! D3 g, K8 t0 V其实原文标题不是这样的, I* d9 C) N* E: P+ e1 l. |) A
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!9 J% K6 k4 R$ f
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. I0 ]7 C6 f4 R; r. q, v
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...: _4 \1 D! r4 t; R6 N' H0 J
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。1 p% w' g* g3 j/ J- P* j
% _& ^0 s7 _7 w2 V i+ `. p, b3 a2 j
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
- _9 w" d- C |" j7 W6 C% Z7 `1 a9 d; F6 C" b5 I" U
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」& y- U/ ]7 U( t( f# Z; _/ Y& O
7 t9 o) ]& o$ L- r「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ' Y& V! t- B2 B1 ]. N8 Y( S" M
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
: t2 k% F3 ]1 R3 {/ ~- ~
( u8 N. Q& G, b 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。$ o; m% Q! _9 X3 D4 r9 D
( m/ |8 c. G8 l" D9 E. \
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
( {) g# U6 U$ T9 X因此铜板较容易出现正面。5 s- R" l( X6 o# l3 N
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 9 t0 @4 K: w0 G$ D: e* X
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。4 @, X, @6 l; T3 h
心想赢定了。
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" I" b0 N, l! V$ w& R没想到开始不到半刻钟，- }( N9 Q8 Z# ~4 c' N4 H* J% J; m+ T
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」' ~1 S3 h, x6 Q9 [
+ y& f5 K. c/ w( U赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，) V3 G S5 L4 K! B9 F* h
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。6 |. H; T/ }. `8 m& g
4 n {/ W/ k0 w" t赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?1 s7 z. X7 m7 W
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 1 I4 u* H: O) I) I$ z& O( _, E c
上帝回答道：- c0 k7 S7 ^ K4 F, T5 B+ U
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」% I, v& Q1 J+ t5 R7 k! A# U) p% O
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」1 e: `2 M7 M8 Y( I* }8 R
「而不是先发生在我身上。」/ J& t5 F" ~% d& D/ N# K4 S- B
& p9 c/ Y; e- K+ z 赌徒恍然大悟，
X( N# ]9 P$ E' u2 s @; _原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，# p8 b4 R& q x4 h1 S9 p3 c
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！9 Y) u. l! v! n# \1 _, {5 j
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
, k4 z9 ~" a$ @5 C3 x3 a5 @- s! V4 k6 a上帝说完便不见踪影。
4 w- Y! K1 K2 {6 g
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
8 t/ H' O C5 v" A若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，1 D, ^& T8 @$ w1 r
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，: H* {* [, p4 \/ C
对赌徒十分有利。
# j) M* r# s' @5 S1 u
; _2 p: c2 S; b/ @2 o4 R但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
5 \# m1 H- U" d在还没掷到1000次之前，
3 x7 d7 v7 W0 E5 Y6 D: U1 h) U6 W仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。" |; t1 [1 J {% ?" m
2 J, k i2 r: T
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。# h+ a% N- B) n0 p# m! Y) U4 f
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。) S7 {- p8 {5 k8 L5 y+ u7 ], n; m
/ ?# X. W X) G) X' k% V 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
3 N4 @/ k3 ]/ e: B
3 h1 _) ~3 j6 Z/ s* B2 G 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
! S5 [0 ^: B }% O& o4 L* ?8 `/ j- x# C$ z2 h/ t+ Q
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