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[lastpost] => 2751015 才刚欢呼完比特币冲上天，下一秒又说它要掉下来！信清崎？信分析师？还是信自己？ 1753546944 天策-瑶娥
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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. u. i2 C, q1 W, B; G! l 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国4 P* o9 m4 k# ~
/ @8 ]; w( W5 o市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。9 L7 J7 Q6 P+ R' v: B {5 s$ F
' X s4 A: R" a8 P 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而3 e; x: R J% l7 h( B
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“短期看空”比特币。
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已- z, i, l" \* N% q
4 k! _( [' f2 I" b. j8 F) \! m: F实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”) E" N" M4 i! C( Z9 D% L
! t1 [8 H; X/ ]& n; m 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。1 d6 L i7 D& f
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% f6 K! Z6 a0 T, {0 B% E% i 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，$ H3 ^. o, p3 @9 r3 k6 c$ Q
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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+ u% \9 ~* V4 ?3 u; h5 Z BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的6 l$ r& ?0 W# j
, q( K1 K! o" p, L! E/ [; u; C利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”( u. ^2 `' e* j( S& h @2 J
) ~1 g5 g9 c4 M% [
“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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