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[lastpost] => 2746899 如果比特币达到 100 万美元且 XRP 保持其市场份额，XRP 的价格如下（转） 1751721500 小钱儿
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。0 ]* `0 r3 N' c/ a/ u
. O: N/ J" \8 p1 t. N$ t, t) `, G 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而4 i e Z% z8 x6 X! B, A' f% [
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“短期看空”比特币。/ Z# P2 ?7 }0 S/ x+ M6 l( g, W
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已; v9 u# j$ M9 t7 a* G
+ g. _) Q5 m0 g实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”0 y0 F b$ w( F1 z2 `3 I$ ^9 N
) }* D" x" y/ @5 q! c 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。2 |& V# p9 V9 i7 ]
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。& b* j% t7 k0 f+ y D: q% s- ^/ o
% |8 d4 o G5 b- e1 c Q BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的% _- B X$ G+ _7 d
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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% O7 M" l9 b& ]+ [5 j* a0 D( l将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。” U1 e3 H. K% Z: Y; g/ q
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