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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
7 g8 H" p, j/ F# x" U美元抛售推高比特币! L& V7 Y: g7 K( W: W3 U; ]
+ h# t1 R3 ?6 {+ U4 E$ E E4 z8 B8 aGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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' F7 n) L8 R1 T3 o# [# r5 `- P来的最低水平。" \4 ^9 Q, i( ]+ j. d
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指$ l$ c9 z& ~' R; `, x
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。8 }* L- w8 L) N; ^& V+ _, M( K
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推0 G* q4 w0 m% E5 X( j/ a
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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$ w0 i/ |! L6 T& V剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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- | k! ~1 a% x9 |5 x了8.7万美元。" o9 m1 D0 g4 k, _7 j9 H
7 J4 e) g! V. i8 }8 b* ?3 N+ x然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，3 D7 b, G2 i* t
" P. x, t8 f; D; t0 [% I# ?“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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4 q. t' ~: T$ p4 w0 {; u分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。9 i. c- a. }0 c0 W; {8 A0 G
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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' d5 T' U: Y0 ]CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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