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[lastpost] => 2750705 比特币成“救国神器”？英财政部想靠72亿美元加密资产填财政缺口 1753374021 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。/ r+ I- h1 l* \' U
美元抛售推高比特币
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' x9 ?% L) _( _: c2 R9 l& sGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以- \- ^. |! E4 O( _+ P9 ?" I1 B
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来的最低水平。5 P' x5 W2 C4 l3 ~
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指# }2 `3 G- o3 y8 \3 v
, }& p6 @+ d4 |& M0 u数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。! ], o' L- K @! T; g# w! T- E. l
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推' ~8 H' g' j8 N- Q2 ^$ J6 ^
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高黄金和比特币的价格。8 v: w0 X- j( h8 q6 U
* ~. w( Y6 n5 m+ s9 K7 K下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化 J6 O4 ?: @4 ]
! N6 J- @. L6 C* N4 K剂。
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3 Z7 k! Y9 C' i; v: o" ]这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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\% l# }1 T0 u0 M: U这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。
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) {$ p b& ^9 D, _" T然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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, I+ D0 B7 r9 [“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”1 I9 }3 Z( }8 l
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/ X; G8 F( z+ `# w% j分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”; C6 R" w( V% A2 `/ H* W5 E+ {
; n& s6 u. p% T2 [* hCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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4 s9 I2 [- T1 C$ o+ f7 [/ Z+ i: l3 W易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。' q8 r, r1 \6 u" v* W( c( t1 L9 K
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