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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份( b/ V" o* T0 ^' z$ _
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。. z# M: W# v0 n6 y, u/ A0 |; k1 ]
美元抛售推高比特币
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+ O! N# V9 }, {5 y8 pGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以1 f, X) M8 l5 e" o/ m
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来的最低水平。+ j7 n; J2 ]: z4 h9 l7 [& |/ ?
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”3 W9 e, S- c# ?
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2 S: a; `! N+ K* u) P2 Y0 u根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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- t2 t8 Z7 P" f9 a高黄金和比特币的价格。
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! o' ~) A; B' k: I: ]下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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2 x4 y" j: r, m5 |这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。' P+ M+ H5 K" _$ n$ ?" ?* i' L
+ H! h* o( W: Z7 U+ V这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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1 }0 k& Y2 K1 f$ \5 v2 i6 t了8.7万美元。
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，* s6 I+ x$ l, }9 Q
# W' ?! |) u5 V# W0 D0 m“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”% t) q3 r# ^& O$ {0 T# M. ^
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5 a1 S8 |* E3 x/ ]! z分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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1 p7 G# a! }0 |" F5 j% _ ZCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交. w M6 O2 s$ g: V" v- V% i
7 ?# O' {2 q" L1 O: H易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。% m9 R: [+ Q; i& V6 t
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