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[lastpost] => 2751015 才刚欢呼完比特币冲上天，下一秒又说它要掉下来！信清崎？信分析师？还是信自己？ 1753546944 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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5 ~# o2 i) b$ H8 `报告中特别强调了这一论断。
' Z$ [$ @: J; E& G5 a; f" g0 x美元抛售推高比特币" p2 w+ R* D& r3 P
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以. x, w1 W( r1 Z6 g6 P' ^- y; j
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来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”. e# x5 I9 s! Z5 z' c+ p8 ~, _+ j7 F
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。4 ]$ `$ Z3 k; ?4 A! I% @' T$ N
/ G; m! Y4 T+ f% \Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推- c1 s6 E8 C" T; j) J8 s
9 ?# b1 A" q' x高黄金和比特币的价格。: @9 j1 X6 s& ]+ Q6 i9 B
; H5 T* V$ D. I3 x% H下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。7 w2 Y. _+ y3 a0 j
9 D% A) d O& g9 T/ p9 V6 S这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破' ]1 _, |( H# T4 ?
: P @: {; |% j. P2 b了8.7万美元。; U% w9 |% [+ w
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”: Q# `' z1 \3 v2 v
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。, g c- B& f" K9 ~9 Y) w- o) R
6 s O1 ]% w- j8 A6 I2 ~“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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) K9 _9 l/ o4 {/ t) k; }CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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1 J) V% ]/ x7 _8 _: M# x易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。) C' v G2 Y) W# s# K$ l
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