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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份5 Z3 Y. n$ M3 n) O* u" m
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
+ Y8 {+ s9 ~( F0 Q美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以+ }4 `# }4 b/ v0 u% |) \
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来的最低水平。3 z$ O) Z& n+ q1 n( R" b6 ^% [
m# J( [5 f' c1 |8 _$ x“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”* J) { K+ Y2 ?
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指8 Y8 F9 V) u. ^5 |
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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% Z( R, K% k- w7 sAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化" O7 C8 M3 m6 i9 J% G/ ]( w" _. B
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剂。# d ^7 v) w @8 G, l$ s
. X3 k- F! m% {. n# M$ J这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。$ p& z0 u7 Q0 f5 g
# a7 ]9 W: O L2 {1 r这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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. w% G5 Z- ~% o Y# w2 Y; Z* v& V5 f了8.7万美元。3 M( c" s8 p* V9 R! ~1 o3 }
! W8 v) X. A) q/ s然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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$ c& d; B$ I2 l5 a“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”9 \" h" v1 U' Y- P5 `7 E
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。$ @" m9 i" [3 o: I: `( s3 g) I
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”/ E- Z! [1 j4 A% X3 E
7 S. N- }' B$ |$ u+ Q/ M% u- t- FCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交9 X$ B' W+ d1 E. {
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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