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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 - S8 c: S; x; k) t7 U5 P2 V3 \
+ s0 W2 N4 H+ A' @3 i. g' b# _其实原文标题不是这样的7 C/ r9 q6 [. q8 n9 G n9 N
" F& {" d: N0 `) t1 u这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!! N4 M5 |* |" T6 L( B6 d
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...) [8 B* }6 b3 a6 D
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。, u, j- P+ Z( ?$ ]
) K" Q0 t/ ]1 t" h7 d% e; W 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。' |, a E2 ] h
; e( N2 _) F5 y" ~2 m# R 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」2 I- D3 C3 a2 T
7 _) }: W7 D3 z& I% _0 c: N「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
8 o% ?3 Z5 s+ O「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」- n! f% Z0 p6 f$ G, {0 N) Q
" Q1 U* E8 H* p* H" Q% @- R
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
3 ?8 C* c. S4 x& p s& B因此铜板较容易出现正面。
1 ]% u4 K, p M; Z& y: m" O# U. U长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
8 ~) m: @( r% P因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
( r0 j3 \7 |: l) B/ C' v+ Z心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，
7 ]! l* @. i+ ?9 X* Z9 M+ o赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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3 V, ?) q0 Q! E$ E1 r赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，6 W u8 l1 l' B% o. R' [
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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: s' l! i$ L/ ^/ {1 w% ~6 l% o3 @- p赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?" U. F- T* H; v( `. p0 K7 s% u
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 . X/ [1 \# x2 Y$ K9 ^" t$ {6 z, j
上帝回答道：
& S1 g) d# a! }! t9 M* M6 r「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
. z: c3 C; t* T0 M「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
8 Q$ H3 i" ]! f& `0 E( b「而不是先发生在我身上。」( w9 W( w' Z7 A- [7 \+ J
3 b* b6 x' A+ u- i) g2 F! ] 赌徒恍然大悟，4 G( L, R o) C& R
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
5 T1 t+ k( Z- Q" w7 S4 s7 _7 _# C竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
6 @# b3 T) w4 e$ P「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
: c3 ?% ~8 a6 _. Q/ l上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，7 d" [) M( G a x% o+ P
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，* _3 K8 S4 K# n! \
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
& D4 | ~' Z$ B j3 D; _对赌徒十分有利。! E( O" d0 d8 m& F4 u; S! h
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，3 n0 l) I" Z0 m1 J6 \1 u
在还没掷到1000次之前，0 t- f N" I# l% Q; v7 u; M7 V6 z
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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; I0 t3 D0 T7 i 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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* ^( F* |, Z& y 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。+ u+ e3 h$ Z, C/ L3 i
9 _7 x, N# n) w3 y4 B( j 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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