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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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% }& d& T" |; o/ E7 W1 I其实原文标题不是这样的
4 g% @ D+ x$ W% Y9 _3 S4 }& \5 N5 g( f, ]
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!& b d& [3 D- B k* y
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7 f. ` z( r; B/ K0 |' r o! u# Y2 P( O
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...- B) s, e, F% a! p( ?! U
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
$ P5 l( U$ O) z9 [; d, Q7 [4 G! N, y4 B1 P F3 U, U
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。9 f4 E+ m& V B
: i3 J* a6 o% ? D 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」7 ?. O9 c$ l& l/ N3 @, U2 Z( E
5 V( v* f. ]3 f, z* t6 `6 \3 m
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 0 C$ V1 q# }8 M+ y+ y1 l/ \3 O- c( `
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」8 ]3 y, v& d( }( J8 N# D! ~
3 [4 H( U4 K( x5 A9 [' d: k" @6 w2 ~ 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
: K, E V" T/ k6 m8 ^3 @
8 p- y3 m, [( ^) _" J9 s) z接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
) H2 Q# |' T- y$ R, j4 W, F因此铜板较容易出现正面。
2 k8 l6 j. ^! s& D长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
3 w6 `( @2 `, q8 x: c1 @8 A$ p因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。# \& K0 |# I( {; R) t
心想赢定了。
6 t3 M' v1 k b: J$ X k4 w* j& {4 k
& v4 h6 {" q1 n8 y4 b" g2 m# p没想到开始不到半刻钟，
; m. P J; w0 M$ z1 G6 F; t& _赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
& D7 A/ w$ k M* W( Z) l# {
% p* ~: t" b* e' r! z t* X赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，) X K5 E2 b' Y! J) o' q' h% T
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
# X- s: _( J7 ~6 I
& }4 `# Z9 T' l4 S' ^3 @3 s& u赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?+ T* O& \6 T0 E$ X- y. G
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
8 \1 f/ T1 V; p- u3 x1 S
上帝回答道：
; L0 W) r) G: O+ |0 G% D/ h「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」7 V$ R! K( U8 Y# x8 R
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
2 C+ z4 B% C: Y「而不是先发生在我身上。」" q# q1 U7 A& I5 C2 H- J' R8 M" @
! y& |* c4 L: M; b: \$ J
赌徒恍然大悟， e0 u9 m- K2 ^
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，% h4 J5 x& T0 F4 B# {
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
0 b# \2 k7 o0 X" q- P- T1 x/ I7 d+ o「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」' u" s$ P! J. C: I
上帝说完便不见踪影。
! m: E0 @. E- u: z2 Z. ~8 ]
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
; v: @+ x$ A- f% `若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
4 O4 R$ \$ X* F6 R1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，3 k( r* }4 \! o" z3 t! g( \
对赌徒十分有利。+ l3 M" C( A9 M1 U& l
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
- `+ f: h! j3 Z1 T在还没掷到1000次之前， w! g( w* d. R3 \! n" d
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; t! k- V. N$ k. A3 T! p! `/ }2 P5 M
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。1 ]: U- C# F5 t& A+ P, ]% v
' B/ O; k; H8 U5 _ ?; Y 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
( u4 S- [& J4 D) @' T( f. U/ N
7 N/ u8 G' {2 ~3 W' J 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，' C" d: d+ n E
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ j4 e' {5 f, k, \
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