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[lastpost] => 2751286 SpaceX突然挪动价值超1.5亿的比特币，是要抛售？还是只是“打扫钱包”？ 1753413761 AOU1888
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。
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+ N0 h) O7 s" q: o8 f 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国! G! b9 y9 M* T( c! o/ T
# `, _. H6 U! R, f- J市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
$ G# H4 ]$ G' m4 z5 l V
! `& }- j6 [: a, [! u. l 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而- U3 V& T( N D
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“短期看空”比特币。% o; e% f- n: r7 u
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已& D7 y2 t8 n5 L$ d$ s
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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8 }3 I1 _$ B6 t9 ]7 k 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。9 j% e5 v3 V) H: h6 f
" M3 f# X" W9 v% o0 [ BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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9 L r7 w) d7 r: d2 h% T “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”! I9 C: m) \+ s, G' S8 y$ t0 V
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