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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。2 [; G" u% c8 i
w8 ]2 H; M/ J: H 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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" J; P% `) A1 [8 g# R! b4 w) x/ x5 n/ D市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
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与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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' K4 f- G# ^" L" e“短期看空”比特币。; y* \# S- v) ~' B# z+ g! ?3 r
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已5 X8 u& x$ w5 C6 W: r
7 O2 {9 t8 g" B) {) u实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”/ s3 S4 a2 w- a) }7 L
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报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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9 Z* o% x: u4 H0 A 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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$ Z9 D: ]$ Y+ Z+ d! P" I& H而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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g g% h. R; ^. _4 q “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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- T) C. {- [0 D8 y/ n& x6 a将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”* }0 P6 ^- w. }
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