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[lastpost] => 2752154 以太坊正取代比特币主导币圈？ETF连续六日净流入超越比特币（转） 1753521784 九嶷风
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。: l/ Z, `+ L0 `" E0 z' j% ^* |
; C# _: n( \$ \1 h+ _# `( Y$ ]3 W 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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3 E' Z7 B9 Z5 y- g市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。) j$ X/ n! E; L/ y: P. v4 L9 R! v1 |
' \1 ~/ q) w. a. Z 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而. f6 N* s1 U K- S
/ b8 k3 G" Y% q+ ~# r4 Y“短期看空”比特币。' Y$ o# E$ u2 w3 i
% C I2 j4 j8 a “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已8 K7 |+ O' Q. @( H! E
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”5 a1 A: x# ?' b9 g# V8 ^
* s& H- G5 ]7 y2 Q# g, i& h" h 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，& P9 K. y, U, W( P$ S
5 o7 X0 W% n, q1 U而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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; [/ F: w" u1 ?2 i, L. g$ C BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策， ]1 j- k9 I; g
* m# S; t0 \3 j1 a& B& Y将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”- C4 U* G4 T" R
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