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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份" {+ e& P9 Z! l# K! e
, c. |' u, Q! u. d4 K6 t0 V& y报告中特别强调了这一论断。, e7 D5 W' }/ I6 x
美元抛售推高比特币& J j/ c+ N5 L/ l4 d6 a6 N0 f
7 S2 _2 ]* s: R
Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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8 }4 L5 Y3 x1 x1 G根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指 Q' @6 m( n2 I$ Q
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。+ {: L' Z0 R) T2 H5 K! r4 z
& D3 X3 ?9 j( M) K# z# h( G8 IAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推: A, X) l7 n: s* p- d
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高黄金和比特币的价格。8 Z$ j% L, r3 {) R
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化6 E3 u- i( t6 L; i) y- ]
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剂。
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% G* U I9 Y0 a这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破2 Y- v( K) X& x0 E! }9 O/ m5 H+ X
. }4 t, W+ x, g+ r. a. r$ P了8.7万美元。3 Q/ M' {0 n/ Z, {! Q! q) W. `. g
9 z$ q3 t/ |- G+ \% B然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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/ L8 o/ A9 h) {2 `1 ^“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”2 i; b& r7 q7 a0 S1 q3 b
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。5 U0 d$ s! h/ ]8 o6 v' K! I
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交5 \ r$ _3 k' x0 ~) V
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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