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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份+ x$ z$ i) H& _5 _$ n- ?4 E# `
8 e5 N l3 O/ h3 D报告中特别强调了这一论断。: S5 p: G9 d8 a6 y- q( i
美元抛售推高比特币3 ^# l9 J! |: g5 H: \( R
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以8 n( p. F9 d/ P7 p- x
# o6 b8 t' t8 b3 v8 m% j w. F来的最低水平。! x! N- _1 D6 c# a& q
7 {) \% V# e5 o" e; i7 i
“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”5 S& G1 J4 K' P, W* o7 C
, m5 u6 N$ Y2 I
4 w7 o! B* G+ H6 [9 G根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指. D( V" D7 n/ `0 f
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。$ e6 ^$ @4 W5 m3 T, t' k3 a
5 x0 ^# e) C# A$ K2 ~Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推; C( j, \1 H8 Z/ F G' Y
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
. O* U s. s; `
; o2 W6 U2 e! h D下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化* [8 ^, @1 a& A
* z t. d* S9 r4 n) Z' F
剂。
\' n" F3 r, \% Q/ i4 G/ |1 p( [/ [
1 _& x* e* b9 X0 l7 h这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。# v2 ~" [0 d" T+ K" q% U% i
5 |& \. }$ X% @( ~
这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
- O$ \4 L) ~) w/ V
+ ]/ _( D1 G# c5 s" H& o; i: G% F7 H了8.7万美元。
6 ^6 a5 k* `& K, k. G% c" D
' H: f* u- u9 w( S; q) N然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
' u% B, F5 f6 u
& x% G* _) v. g1 i7 `! i“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
$ a( |% J+ m5 G# R
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* e$ z- ?) }0 d' X$ ~ # v5 n3 m1 t- c' A4 q% A
分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
" N+ U* q1 j7 k" j v. c6 a
, K: g# j# e) j1 k“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”9 f- V' u; K2 k
& I% Y D) ^8 O% c/ }CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交8 E" A! c7 }# U* s, ?
" d8 b3 E' J1 T! o f易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。. c8 V/ V& @" G& L0 k
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