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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份) W( H4 w% @0 q
' o, W3 c) [, ] \4 S报告中特别强调了这一论断。
& X3 I" @! H7 s6 L4 |美元抛售推高比特币
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7 _* Z1 y4 ~5 i- J. e' M3 o: KGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以7 f5 z$ S U" p* o( z9 J
% I' G6 b6 _6 F来的最低水平。' H) f* r( x* w1 [6 P' ]. k" q
1 R' {; G' }, m“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”8 }: p; \' J' L" n( m
% t" O- g% t z5 ?
3 W @( k6 _/ H根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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, k4 ~+ f$ F7 X( f# u& u- l数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。& F7 _$ P; \$ q' ^2 n2 a6 P
1 }3 c# l& U; O: q3 n* J! FAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推' p. h0 G- i/ A/ q' J" x
/ O2 w+ Q, L! a: }* i& W/ Z- ?! H高黄金和比特币的价格。* F1 j' Q: J) `% I5 g( ?; O4 K' B4 }
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化: c2 N9 W9 N) {$ p
5 N2 t; { b) X( y+ `剂。. g6 j% K: z, }5 ^; D, W1 m! e% n! y
# j7 A% ~ x4 g! {% D这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
) P9 `7 H, u+ x0 n, N8 E, C2 f/ Z4 e" j. k, G; {
这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破7 V5 l4 g7 r+ q! {5 W2 i
/ q' {% [9 ]( L2 Z( k, \7 p U4 Z了8.7万美元。
, t9 {# E. m% g+ G' m. D1 \3 T1 o: q0 B2 | a( b+ o- {
然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，" m' A9 F2 F* ~- f" y v
% R/ {& c; A8 C# d“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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& m0 [- p) z6 C8 F0 y5 T分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
# R. L; i8 ^" \, X& |; ^ l: M. V9 R" ^* j0 \
“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”1 m$ e# Y9 J( g- T
8 W# y- m+ q3 [% p' k) x
CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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+ E$ t# T. W$ K8 O易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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