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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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$ U, c+ g5 r+ R" O4 k- O
美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
' V. Q v- I* l( D N2 C! g& r+ v中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
* v1 O1 W, u2 a! `0 d& O且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
6 }/ \7 k6 a" k5 @0 Y官员预计：2024将降息3次1 s# M$ C9 o/ [( H; f
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季
6 M/ E5 }# E4 J; s. ?8 I度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也3 X5 n+ h& ~& {
已经开始讨论降息的时机。
& g7 E; e" G! X9 m/ G主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
7 Y0 l. { z: E: ]走高。
+ q2 q% E1 K( K3 |# F1 W且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
/ g9 @. |; w; a$ }# p: A解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。. V O1 y3 `) o. L
比特币冲破4.3万
, p7 x# ^1 O4 }7 f" I( O0 u; O; ^+ a受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
% `& O8 ^; E5 P! j0 T; [: J) \截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
$ J5 m. A0 N4 U' f$ D( V+ s( P) N以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。3 K9 m1 I( C. B' \; G1 h1 Y) ~) e
美股四大指数齐扬
. M" U8 R0 ^1 s& M回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：
/ E7 e! _ g- B3 U' @; g2 M" l% y道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点/ i& C' B+ m2 Q
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点6 c8 L6 Q3 E8 G {
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点
* E' c- R# l- k# I! A费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
# k3 h) N0 _3 v4 X9 H* H5 k4 Q! X美国10年债殖利率跌破4%4 w8 i( f4 _& `! E: ^
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。) Q6 i5 g; W) ^
被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将
1 `# E4 m1 N8 n2 _7 a- h5 m跌到更接近3%水平。
: d4 B$ r0 J" d" [0 l6 B& o3 Z4 o2 G+ ~: L/ w
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