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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 % _" @3 u& Z" W1 Q! P
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
% K, H+ m( f' V6 |他希望能和上帝来场赌局。0 y, _% h4 e0 w, Z% ^' q
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「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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) q( X1 B2 H3 @ 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」7 N8 R+ J0 \" n9 \# H# H& F
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「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
: g6 Y3 y, H6 y2 B6 h( n「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」* A R9 E! ~/ Q4 b
3 L: m1 U9 u: z$ K 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。( _# M1 u7 X% r% H* {' s
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
) Y$ ?% P* Z2 p# p因此铜板较容易出现正面。
) q% a; i3 D3 y+ H/ z( t1 |长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 , z2 t2 i; q6 G1 J' ~, J3 C9 f: P4 V
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。8 Z8 N) J. l4 l6 v0 ]% h% b
心想赢定了。
% W4 ~6 V# ]/ K3 D ! V: D' J$ u4 u/ W; r. u
没想到开始不到半刻钟，
) y0 N4 M7 A8 G4 h: N赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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: E" V6 U& s1 E# J* J& J赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，3 b: Z0 v5 R3 X5 |/ e: W
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。9 y" v$ L" i: D
: h% j9 c3 R, x! K; n" r赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?& r: l. [6 {) M3 ]% Y3 Q
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：* d9 E( p! t4 P6 t
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
" Q+ h- d' T9 u「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
$ d5 s1 N1 }1 [0 u$ t' x「而不是先发生在我身上。」
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. {9 r }7 t0 V2 j3 }; ~- Z M! H 赌徒恍然大悟，
& i% a9 |* b- G& F# r1 _8 `5 T原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，* B; k/ \% d& b9 H& ^5 p
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！, V- X2 N4 m% I5 D1 P# Q4 p1 e
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」0 d* J! c u7 j' J& t7 L% S
上帝说完便不见踪影。 8 A. Z7 x. l8 s$ X% [ J8 k
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
4 V. [2 ?9 W; d( Z/ _" e# H若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
% G7 j# I; n/ ^- ?1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，4 @- x8 w: u5 l& ^7 q/ \
对赌徒十分有利。
( ^7 r' S; k$ h$ I* W3 ?
; p% o/ v/ b! I" j, C2 E# x但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，* B4 D: u( d* A. T9 i r
在还没掷到1000次之前，! j* m; f& [% v/ e/ M* M
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
4 [6 S) s/ O$ y; z/ ?& e1 N4 R. {0 j w
永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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