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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 9 O P( x+ H2 D2 o" v% f5 h/ o
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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* Y0 P+ m. e9 g) w7 [1 F3 P这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!# A. K' ?; d! ^9 u
7 W, } Q2 ^/ \5 @1 e- z
9 s! I! I2 e7 B7 L/ h" `1 A
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...9 c/ U4 ]2 u) `9 x
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
6 J8 }& a) h2 i, |# M4 `; R% k* q9 v' s a! q8 R
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
6 c# y( C* Z- n, `0 Y1 ?! ^+ M1 V% N- G" _# J4 w& m0 K$ S
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」5 l0 N y3 {' o ]+ g: z7 r
8 m3 }6 n$ x1 K0 k8 l8 y
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 $ x( E8 w" A2 J) P
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」8 V# E; Q1 ?( m$ J6 M, r/ M
/ F% k. r5 M) `5 \3 s 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。! R7 z5 g0 h# P, \/ Y) ]/ I
: H& I# I! m+ P8 g5 z8 U3 J- d接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
' \) [- q( X g. Q) d! M# }因此铜板较容易出现正面。
8 C. L9 Q1 o- \& w7 U长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
A% s5 S( ] R% T7 O因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
0 V1 Y! X! r% ?) _+ v& h心想赢定了。
- i4 h) [& L% \3 _2 ^5 \# m 3 f$ `* a, }% c3 S3 d
没想到开始不到半刻钟， @9 c' }+ s5 j. C% N- ?( @
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」- l1 G$ i8 _: F7 x5 R# a
) t& K4 R( _8 [+ o2 u) U赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，$ ^+ H! |- w1 V+ c: W
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。# s5 }% {0 j: H. Z' H# }0 u
( w4 }+ ?, V( s9 @7 n
赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?$ P' I$ h+ C6 O4 {# F" G. L. E
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 # p# h% k+ U9 D! S
上帝回答道： B3 U2 b1 X% h8 {" P
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」9 {. Q \2 U! C; U8 E" I0 m8 @
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
; N1 u$ F, Z- z「而不是先发生在我身上。」
1 k* P, C: L0 k& j5 f. x- E7 n0 r/ H" B' `
赌徒恍然大悟，' B; r2 |0 b% ~
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，2 H. n" a' G3 k4 C
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
" ~' t4 B( _* m. _ E. {$ ]「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
1 O! r- I5 Q. q. H2 d! K上帝说完便不见踪影。
. p) X1 L, H; t# O& }! F
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，2 G" b" X" h, g1 E; }8 o5 _/ u
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
2 M7 K; W7 _2 m) b9 v9 v9 Y1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，- c: I p3 z! Z; I
对赌徒十分有利。" K* U5 g2 d, i+ C" i
! u9 u1 r7 V' d但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，8 _, w9 C( H- r
在还没掷到1000次之前，( }9 a' ^/ H$ N8 g" x' L d- k# C2 g
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; K6 F& u# s- R1 G% L$ p* y
; a. I1 r" F1 W1 y. f* S 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
, h. u+ ?4 F3 Y+ g
2 E5 Z" |) V1 E$ ~6 w 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。$ X; b8 ~: O/ s2 {) U' F6 R: y5 d: u3 d |7 \
/ G4 S. e4 O, a 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，5 o2 ~5 m0 I; d1 a {* Z' M
|6 {- k0 m2 U% r 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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