Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块,以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7804
[posts] => 55430
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 26
[oldrank] => 26
[lastpost] => 2780092 F88星宝 靠谱吗 他是哪个俱乐部的赞助商 1762788608 ygq330
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 1 ^2 D7 I# b5 v$ N$ q. n: k
$ [6 n h9 B9 ~# U: e/ ?7 \ ^
其实原文标题不是这样的
" a% w5 y9 T) o7 O& n. V& `1 W+ r! D( u/ B' N1 S
这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!- A9 O1 i9 H1 M
( K) ]; L1 w6 g
. g& v) [) r; r! |
有一天,一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...8 J6 f. A* b- G1 x g
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
) W; @% r- E9 Y$ j9 i- K/ T% J+ [, C
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。+ W' R; R7 z9 o6 ~& ]# h B# X
) A8 @4 x# A) G0 f' p6 S' x
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去,您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」 P% M5 M* k* U* k& A# F: t6 U
+ b \, h$ f& |1 }: ^4 Y7 ]1 e' z
「我只有一个要求,我们赌掷铜板,由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币,反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
4 f3 i4 y* H z% u1 i「如同人生一样,您的人生,您自己选择。」
6 g& v) ~* p0 L3 M- p* w6 u/ K# |4 U5 r( k! @% c
上帝笑着说完,便把铜板交给赌徒。/ R1 ~, I/ B9 }# d
: |. G- ?1 e8 o' }, E7 v
接过铜板,赌徒凭着过往的经验,便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重,$ y% p- z1 x6 q0 ]2 F$ I
因此铜板较容易出现正面。
' Z) K+ o6 `# a4 b长期而言,正面出现的次数会高于反面,较有长期优势。
l. @3 x' A2 M9 @$ w( y% t因此,赌徒二话不说,掏出身上20枚金币,心中暗自窃喜。
$ T. P- k$ G: d7 ]7 K; v1 _心想赢定了。
+ j1 ?9 P; k& y/ }- U+ m B
) J) \, i" P0 ^1 a3 Z4 X8 y没想到开始不到半刻钟,) o9 h" ^; n) x5 Q: q
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧!」6 E* e! B3 b0 v: X/ ^2 T) U
% a( `- \4 v: M/ }% p; b赌徒不甘心,又带了100枚金币来比试,
3 n, ~1 i+ P9 Q, t/ ^& A但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。 A9 g4 E5 R% s2 D4 c. u. i
4 `6 a0 @* f. B7 t
赌徒百思不得其解,他明明已经占尽优势,为何还会失败?
1 e1 L7 s1 n' V5 I$ m6 Q L他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
# a8 ~* W, V# |: Q
上帝回答道:# n9 [ Y8 T) ~1 v2 j& M
「我会赢,只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
/ ^# R" v- a8 ]" n* i4 ?「因此,如果时间够长,输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」, H* l& v* _; V7 O
「而不是先发生在我身上。」
" ~" r* X' e G0 X/ ]. a+ j2 W/ Y6 T$ |1 l+ \% n
赌徒恍然大悟,- N" `1 G/ m1 O. O- x2 S( g& D" B
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧,寻找赌局中的些微优势,
6 r8 w7 x( v6 D竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要!
1 ?7 ]+ C+ H. F0 C8 Y「因此,如果您身上带的是一万枚金币,那赢的想必就会是您了。」+ F7 z j( ~' W
上帝说完便不见踪影。 1 m; D; F5 }! \) e
一旦赌局无法再继续下去,拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板,
# V- {% A- {4 ^/ T3 v ~, R; n6 U若掷铜板1000次,最后结果可能是正面出现550次,反面出现450次,- {, K! k- j. p* o2 H
1000次下来,赌徒可以赚到100枚金币,- w; {: p2 _7 J) ]9 G3 z* B: [
对赌徒十分有利。
" X8 M; K/ K# e # b: Y; R" }* o' E
但要是450次的反面,在一开始就 连续的出现,
6 T4 v6 u$ z: q* ^6 \在还没掷到1000次之前,% |6 k& N, W2 D6 p# d
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。& U& z0 V. g3 @* N; [8 D
1 Z. t0 u" g7 z 赌徒拥有运气与勇气,但却没有充足的资本实现获利。8 ~1 b. e% ?6 }
" S7 h. V+ [+ {7 ~4 S. [ 事实上,当资本不足时,即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
! \; K* H$ K- y! e& N$ k
* Z/ u, @9 l- ] I$ Q1 J 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝,投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板,
9 c6 I$ u* n* M0 Z6 c& |
* G. M( q0 l$ M$ G$ c" K 永远必须准备足够的资本,才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔! & X5 g* _0 a. K
* v& B/ F6 a* ? M( C
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|