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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
8 l' v. s* m s" O美元抛售推高比特币' U2 m8 @- ^' C0 m7 ^+ N
, x' j" B) Q+ _2 U+ JGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以) O* z5 ]+ T* o) d' l( A; i1 l9 D$ }
) i0 L) n0 B. z6 M* E$ T来的最低水平。3 k8 p0 O# @0 c A- q2 A9 O. A
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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% {8 w; ~* W; E7 O0 v3 k根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。. Z% e1 c: ?. Q) ?$ g
: S0 y5 ~( t# J% c! qAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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( Y- f: Y5 G$ A0 I6 `高黄金和比特币的价格。: U2 ^4 e! u( F& b
* h0 ? ?" e z/ f0 q0 B6 X下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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剂。
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* H1 m. F# t5 A1 {8 e这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破7 C$ f+ G9 T0 ^! l0 n
& x) V) L" {3 z+ X; }. e# ?" m4 E$ @了8.7万美元。& i7 l; s1 o( G* b; M' C# w
, p% Q& |( J+ @- M- g* N- R" J然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，6 U. {4 q9 w+ E- Q4 ]2 _
% @# ~1 N/ J1 ]2 i( Y* l; w0 @“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”$ Z: }" A1 R( ^/ L; _; @! q
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。% ]( X K9 n# }7 p; T) t4 G- @- G
0 g6 y/ V: ?, B“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”* x7 T, {0 b- c" V% z! N; z- T
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。* \; a2 e6 p2 R' Y* E
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