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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
$ ]$ |4 f) ?; U0 o, E' ]* u4 y: Q* o# {+ E! k
报告中特别强调了这一论断。6 D" d% x" c/ D2 `* G1 C
美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
6 p& K2 J3 [% b. X1 J/ _2 o& U, B% X
来的最低水平。) p- W g2 v* I; m+ J
) W' ^0 ?2 S* b7 U) ~" e4 O“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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1 ^2 Y! i( I! ~. T数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。9 |/ K8 @8 ~4 x. N4 z! F
$ o& ~$ F! |( n, U$ ]Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推0 [( x5 y5 S9 o `
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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5 t2 ?" {4 N! m* x下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化. |: q, T5 J+ q" W* y- V; }2 ^
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剂。3 ~; X8 S/ O5 i3 z4 S7 |6 G( l; N
1 }% ~0 f! Y2 u6 c% M这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。- V. s' C# m# c! w7 O: a, V
: v( n$ z1 v" \6 x5 ` D" y这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破' j& W8 Z/ t o" E
- w# l/ ?& o2 B3 {! a了8.7万美元。2 a/ X2 R2 @9 x, y! j) y& e- V$ m& C
' v- s4 l) I9 x5 ~然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，$ E5 [# |+ O) l, s
$ T# ]" p+ @$ c
“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”) o* I8 y" h: X8 e/ e
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4 p( y" F8 W3 i分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
! j/ U2 G# m( ?0 J" H5 H$ ^7 l6 j% A" Z9 x5 c" T3 G. T" t' ~
“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
3 B- l5 A: j/ s! a2 X0 t
2 Y) p( h2 s& w% gCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交 g$ x+ [$ {& z; a
& }1 n0 B. A! {* c/ {- V易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。3 v ^$ M( } p% |1 P
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