Array
(
[fid] => 6934
[description] => 新人学习的板块，以便快速熟悉论坛
[password] =>
[icon] => 10/common_6934_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 1
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 4
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 1
[extcredits3] => 10
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6934
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6937,6943,6970,6869,6944,6958,6900,6902,6783,6817,1111,6870,6821,6951,6876,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6948,6879,1121,6799,6845,6765,6873,555,6815,6895,6903,6976,6974,6977,6975,6934
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] => 实习版主1
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[981] => 板块公告
[982] => 新手课堂
[983] => 新手提问
[984] => 新手任务
[987] => 活动推介
[986] => 综合讨论
[1103] => 实战交流
[1526] => 自我介绍
[1527] => 首次擂台投注
[1528] => 存款直升
[1529] => 提款直升
)
[icons] => Array
(
[981] =>
[982] =>
[983] =>
[984] =>
[987] =>
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[981] => 1
[982] => 1
[983] =>
[984] => 1
[987] => 1
[986] =>
[1103] =>
[1526] =>
[1527] =>
[1528] =>
[1529] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 90 91 92 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8
[postperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 38 58 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:7:"#FF00CC";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"48";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6729
[type] => forum
[name] => 新手大厅
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 7
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 7804
[posts] => 55430
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 16
[oldrank] => 8
[lastpost] => 2780092 F88星宝 靠谱吗 他是哪个俱乐部的赞助商 1762788608 ygq330
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 0
[allowpostspecial] => 1
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 1
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 9 A' S( k# @ }. F
: D7 V" r0 S; F1 g
其实原文标题不是这样的+ b- v' z6 c" U. \6 ]1 T( ]
( N# F. {2 v# Q" H这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!! |( A7 I w* E) ]" e: b
l# _5 y+ G) j; F& N
1 A2 p& R2 A9 l$ j7 S
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...( @4 i# t7 ~: x" N+ e
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。# f; c% B" F) i* t" q: g" Y% C
6 }" I) G5 M2 H 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。7 S6 |) o e9 `$ e' p, ]7 u
# _% H& f, ~* c$ f7 y
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
4 h' L* T$ O+ ?- d; r
' o! c! n( Z- A) S: b1 e「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
& x8 }7 x5 v; d9 g「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
! Y/ e4 ?/ s- s# _4 f2 i4 W/ S2 r3 W* T1 j
上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
. ?& [- C7 { }6 }6 m7 b# x ) t3 E! m$ I9 G1 i' e5 F. z& X r, {: {
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
* V3 o# p/ f- j) q( K因此铜板较容易出现正面。% q; B% |) }+ a, @0 s
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
2 I$ U* O- t2 a0 b7 b1 j2 B因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。 P L2 ^' Y! t& b0 k5 J
心想赢定了。: _1 Q! F, e8 ~/ q0 y2 B& [0 N
3 h/ u; @& A! C2 G没想到开始不到半刻钟，
4 S. S4 a( ]3 W: T赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」) N8 r8 r' z$ x0 e* K- c* p
' t" C) k# b( f& k" W$ a, Q# K
赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，( P% J+ q! [; ]+ R. I! h
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。3 S X/ q, b" |
9 v& L& V- M% z [0 T; w, R# ]赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
+ J% w/ F- y8 U" R他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 - h9 U5 {& ~: P) ^; T+ m
上帝回答道：% K+ V' T6 @* s
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」5 o9 p; C8 p/ }: o, K' h
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
# s9 @( J1 s; Q1 k+ O" v「而不是先发生在我身上。」
# Q$ T" A$ g' j' l2 U- g$ |# q6 z5 e$ W' b c8 U4 \( O% F+ k9 V
赌徒恍然大悟，
B& N% Z# _; n- @8 d1 x原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，3 l ^- S( P' |/ U* W8 a! K8 g
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！! L. A& N, O1 [$ J
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」
# ]$ {/ F5 c2 C3 E+ v, a G. t上帝说完便不见踪影。 6 f, ?! W1 m( W
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
4 K; y& |, l4 }# }: L" s1 r2 S v若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
j: y9 z- [% b5 O% U5 P$ p! L. f1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
: g4 j% T% B9 U( @对赌徒十分有利。9 Y* [4 D* \- ]+ Z+ r; T
0 G" n3 C+ x2 Y( a2 k& r
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
! F8 p& i1 x5 L b% y在还没掷到1000次之前，: Q* M# V) H- u+ ^+ O5 v
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
+ G2 t/ D% C0 [0 X7 o5 K" A0 q! @5 a1 Q5 c, ]' j* w1 @) C
赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
) }9 E4 w+ [7 o d& E7 q6 [. c# Y4 K. k3 m& ^8 c) I) W% Z; d3 c
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
& k z0 _: g' z- X* v6 R7 u3 s+ {9 W1 N3 F$ r" I# q
市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
8 X% C/ y1 P$ r% {( \
: w3 k" i1 \, i+ w: P0 K3 N a H 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ * a( c2 i! S% H1 j1 u* ^2 N+ n
1 t2 v% h3 v# q |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
