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[lastpost] => 2750513 日本美甲连锁店也囤币 宣布购4亿日元的比特币-转 1753069843 爱美的女人
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。4 t7 y! M7 K& E% ]1 p; ]
/ S* G4 H' R U5 a5 _, V2 f 该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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, s& C; q5 B: v; \7 d, l市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。1 Y/ O3 W% U1 w! S# R
" B# j/ C7 s! ]6 H1 z% \ 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而4 b, f1 S9 d* j* o5 ?: v' c
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“短期看空”比特币。2 P" d; S3 B0 l G) V& o; a+ m
, g4 `: a! H% T5 ~$ c/ T) f “在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已' E- M0 e5 X- ?, n
0 V! K, G. a; g实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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/ q* q8 W8 M% l" [4 `. T: w8 ?2 v/ s 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。2 e) Q6 T l2 z
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
2 H9 |* v/ d' c8 ?7 T
: z& I6 y1 c/ ]; k$ V9 M% ?而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。% O7 i5 U8 j, o! m- S! }7 M! m* c/ o
) S/ k& F' [# @- T1 d
BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的 l) F$ L! K- W( l
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策， @# E: }1 y6 z. M S, o* L
; W- v7 j6 g' ~+ \5 [% v% ?1 [将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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