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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 % I0 \+ t$ v' h6 Q! l
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
2 j8 J9 c+ U( D r% f2 L- B他希望能和上帝来场赌局。$ `, C! [: c6 _2 k) S9 \
, ~) z# ?( ]$ R" y 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。8 O3 u8 a9 G* A' s
0 q g: E4 _: [2 z$ \* E5 p+ G 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
0 i% q" s$ {2 ]& Y: X ' ]* G4 ~" W) {+ h( o
「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
/ B/ n F( @# M. r5 ]3 a「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
% W9 J: s6 ]4 [6 n$ y
$ w, U8 z+ v* F+ U; x& O 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。/ U5 _6 q. T4 \. v' o- \& F
) W& ?: }0 u; Z* a接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，5 f7 }3 `& Q0 ~6 G! Q/ P7 m
因此铜板较容易出现正面。: j% y& B, e2 `6 }
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
$ [' ^9 X/ U, l8 @0 g8 Y* ~" E因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。$ c9 |* m( _# |+ Z0 Z6 u! N- h8 m
心想赢定了。/ S7 h: u7 f- p( G9 u
8 `( n3 k. w8 e7 ~% k2 A9 s% m没想到开始不到半刻钟，6 T9 `" D1 j# s
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
- S$ V6 f- J0 ~, Z( S8 U但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。) c3 e/ w) R# i5 }" b/ Z' m
1 `' {8 t$ e6 x: I* h) ]( Y- n- L& G赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?
2 f0 S) U4 R4 _& c+ `( u他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：
* ~1 T6 n- X$ |1 `2 m「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
* k: m. @$ ^" _8 `0 b( Q& ]「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
' Z1 W, H9 ?3 Z, p& A) R. T「而不是先发生在我身上。」
4 r# c& T w+ r3 d* ?% j, b; @. `. o" v! |6 ]
赌徒恍然大悟，" X( W. c( w% Z1 {/ i' a% w
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
0 r5 ]2 f# c5 b; l- R/ r+ q竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！6 M. D- F6 x# Y
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」$ R \8 ?1 `, j B7 _" f# I8 C
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
3 }6 i) U# Z& p. V& X7 K若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，# ]( `! ]) M( m9 I8 V3 C5 ^/ K
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
! z0 _7 h$ h5 H% V7 n* {4 A对赌徒十分有利。, v: @# m, m$ X* K2 X
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，' @6 r0 O' d. D+ D/ x
在还没掷到1000次之前，4 r; ]5 ?8 n/ C* r# `( g4 Y
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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( \4 _: P$ I+ @% U6 V4 z 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。. A! D7 @2 o! N/ X
/ z2 W+ S+ ~( ?0 v! f% L) g3 [ 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。! e o; W* N# \: \7 h* Q4 p
7 E5 ~2 N# a( u* X F3 Y! G7 N 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，
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2 u8 y1 ?) |0 t4 H& F' c0 f3 R& j 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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