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[虚拟币交流] 比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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1#
随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。
& v, E  `5 M+ q9 \$ |RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。. O5 Q- x# y9 ~: o* Q( H7 @
比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。7 x9 `- I$ c7 Y

7 s+ [9 {) |" Y( @6 f$ M7 ?% H5 E接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。6 ?6 h) u2 M0 Z- ~9 a5 F' |

; h$ [1 d7 E4 N6 M$ P$ Y链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。3 d7 H% W' W) |1 y& F* t

+ B3 I" T8 C* @/ Y7 L8 C5 N8 j& [随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？
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市场信心[激增]？0 n; X9 U  y! s, u  |# D
根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。1 S- j5 E  z1 F# z4 ?

+ j7 \/ N. u' O6 O. {, i1 {2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。( ~* P* }8 V( ]: o
8 W+ ?, i5 r! O5 x% j7 x
随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。2 q0 Q! L( N/ @* R2 X
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超级持有者已暂停
/ D( |* x+ S6 v  d3 a  B8 N, c尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。' [- P3 F* T/ r' P  t1 U+ A; i, v
5 C5 R: D! o. N( i: M/ |4 h" ]( x0 _
根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。
; g2 }! g8 ?( X8 L) N" U' h1 |
, X( u1 R' S  j) J; c4 j相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。- m, n0 o$ ?6 ^: C& z
( B+ ^. A& I6 T) o2 a; P; I
即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。
+ P( |; ]4 @! L! F5 h2 I& E
0 j7 K8 r/ m, i尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。
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比特币显示出疲软迹象& t- `" e# u7 y; x6 l# \
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。  p7 X2 {; S2 F/ K# [1 [
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此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
+ ~3 F* V  z! W! I7 x$ [
" D& e/ I( Z* N/ ~% h" D尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。
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6 x5 r, h! ~% ]7 D8 C& C. k# N如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。% b  k' s; ?: N& Z# ~3 w
0 P2 E5 H& N' k# t" w# s

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2#
这个会反弹也是很正常的了。

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3#
价格的问题不太好说的啊.

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4#
这个希望还是相当的大的啊。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
现在难道不是新高吗？怎么会这样的问呢

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6#
有可能的啊，还是会有反弹了

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7#
这个会反弹也是不好说的呀。

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8#
再次闪烁的也是有可能会反弹了

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