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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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+ t4 f, W4 p% L) h# E报告中特别强调了这一论断。& D7 K. w& |2 g2 U ?
美元抛售推高比特币0 p; N/ o$ ?% a! d- a1 J" F4 \
% X( V9 F: w6 m( q& w5 O5 }% S. SGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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1 @3 D: q2 {8 M8 l& E' ~来的最低水平。6 `7 w% e q2 l5 Z9 ]& Z9 [( v
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”2 @3 E( Y+ {0 S
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. g: w% F! p* \, [' Y/ J根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指. o3 u4 G g3 W4 }
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。& S& F* e" ?1 q
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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高黄金和比特币的价格。
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! J0 Q0 E6 p# W6 f3 V! r1 R下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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( C! ~5 E( H. y; _7 c剂。
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。& u) {$ f9 j# c6 s0 a) g
5 i! ]0 J& }" z. D7 z这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破5 d% M9 V# F, V" y* t" O
1 ~* \+ o7 i5 a# a: d8 \了8.7万美元。* B( V+ G' p# j
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，. k0 T+ S, y- j q3 `) R
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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, G5 i$ F J6 i8 q3 |分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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, S( A6 y6 Q i3 ^ I q) H“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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0 h( W, I" [2 V易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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