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[lastpost] => 2750023 电动汽车公司 Volcon 注入 5 亿美元资金加入比特币资金潮（转） 1752769605 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。9 Y8 E# F' \1 v) } {/ ]% S
RSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
( I4 h! s- ^: K8 G) B比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。
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$ b: \% P9 X5 M接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？0 ~; h, }" e+ m2 O/ u% g, i( T6 D
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市场信心[激增]？
6 [, d1 r. H7 V& |0 N根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。7 n) D- l8 ~( a* g& {& k( ?# w/ p" c
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2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。. [1 v& ~$ h" j5 [/ m1 s
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随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。+ E) }8 t" b1 d1 C. x1 u
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超级持有者已暂停$ o0 \: |2 h5 k O" x
尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。
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% ^$ `6 i: |4 K+ e根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。
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* q/ g4 T# L9 ^9 B相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。& t, e) u8 j+ L: J$ O9 i1 G# i
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即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。; O$ Z3 ]: Q+ X
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。$ k6 Q5 W7 [3 ~! m- Z
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比特币显示出疲软迹象6 O) z \. }: }6 Q0 \' ?
RSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。$ P8 w' v+ y. S
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此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。- U6 L0 N9 h* _- h
! q I) z% P0 ?+ ^, a9 o) p尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。( D/ b k6 G+ i" l+ d8 O2 z9 ]/ a
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如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。
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