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[lastpost] => 2751286 SpaceX突然挪动价值超1.5亿的比特币，是要抛售？还是只是“打扫钱包”？ 1753633882 天策-瑶娥
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
& Q2 C% `0 i: v+ i美元抛售推高比特币
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2 l! j5 M H1 NGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。. o" @; T) C2 l7 ]% H
# B% ]7 ^% [ D% k: N$ k“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指! ]* y$ n' }9 \) x
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。0 K3 E, c9 j# a/ N/ ]' s
: r& ~" Q- _3 R" x" UAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推& B/ b( E! ~5 }, j0 M4 F$ H
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高黄金和比特币的价格。4 U( v( P2 F+ u' y1 z+ X
2 s3 P" S+ l% Y3 ]" F6 Y2 A9 V下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化; e2 Z9 l: M2 G" x+ j8 P6 S
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3 l. \: K3 G$ `6 A- U/ ?, O这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。
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这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。9 p1 M0 E7 C( B; C# |* i
# E: F2 r3 f; r* R. S2 H9 E然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，, b! z* E7 b% ^
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”0 j; ^# m& z9 O5 X! G o+ Z- Y- S; B
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# o$ Y" G. }6 ]% }! i分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。, M( {" v8 I8 e6 I! | `# P
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“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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3 Y/ M# \3 e3 R9 k/ WCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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' p3 i* ~$ }8 I- [3 v0 F易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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