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[体育菠菜心得方法] 再论赔率统计 --新手胡说八道
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以威廉为标准，只统计 英超，西甲，意甲
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只跟踪一个联赛
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全塞季  分别买 主胜，  平，   负赔3 v* P! B+ i# z$ |# q

8 h$ Z2 o" w% Q三条线  ，三年统计结果  全部亏水钱，积少成多也不少啊 ，最后收益差别不大，9 Q8 @2 v7 D, E+ _  K) q; ]4 I
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偶尔年份  平或 负赔会高一点。% B. q) k# c5 [: }
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方法：  全程跟踪一个联赛，一个塞季， 只买一边， 主胜 或负赔（平局出现相对概率要少）$ z: ]# g2 W6 g" N: q) D; A& [7 i

  Z$ D, p( }2 J& s# x8 }1 }然后通过基本面或盘赔特征，排除一部分球赛， 最后你买的那边胜率就会增高， 只需要增高一点，
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6 a7 G5 Y4 E: h# e8 a- Q就可以做到 一边持平或赚水钱，  然后就是不断累积经验，多排除一些球赛，多赚一点水钱( h' X. H' g- e4 F1 q) b
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当经验积累到一定程度， 足球就成了一种长期投资 项目
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亚盘没有统计，想当然，  低水胜出概率高点，  让盘方胜出概率高点，只有两个方向容易判断，
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而且亚盘返还率要高一点， 选低水+让球方，一个联赛一个赛季全程跟踪，开始肯定输水钱，
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但是只要累计经验去排除一些明显打不出来的球赛就可以了，就可以把水钱赚回来。3 V. \$ _+ V4 L+ u% k3 ^. T- e0 X
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1 X5 _! [/ p/ X理论依据： 只买一边 ，一定不会让你亏多少，因为大联赛大庄都是平衡的，一个联赛一个赛季一定平衡。
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排除比选择要容易积累经验， 而且学习排除法 那些不可能出现  ，比那些可能出现 要容易判断

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以上的方法 是不可能赚多少钱的，
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" o4 g$ _& d8 @9 L但是每个赛季 5-10%， 是可以做到的，
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这比买国债存银行合算。
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, k6 j3 {7 I6 U# c: Z$ e0 k/ A; V! m在DC赚大钱的人，都是用高风险去博高收益，风险大利润才高，* z8 [2 s5 d6 m- }: Q; O# o! T& h

, ]1 Q; [: h' J$ Z2 l几次发现十几倍的负赔，就是不敢去，买了平，这就是人性。7 G0 U0 o3 i3 A# v, e
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常胜的人收益一定不会高到那里去。. r- l" q) v5 H4 l

/ _: X* I/ ]/ A$ l1 l- N放弃一夜暴富，放弃神奇的方法， 放弃高的胜率，9 N4 S4 J/ `& P! {: ]+ y
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就是回避了大的亏损，9 q2 Y1 {1 f% b' w# X1 r  C

5 I3 g/ e: U. ?0 ~# d0 Y* w( B+ R1 K大亏，小亏，小赢，大赢，  DC就这四种结果，
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回避了大亏，用经验避免小亏，就只剩下 赢了。

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顶起再慢慢看

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