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[lastpost] => 2813579 美国2月未季调CPI年率将于今晚20:30公布，预期2.4%，前值2.4%（转） 1773191881 jackcool1011
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川普在一天前还强调不暂停关税，但迅速“食言” 仅对天朝加征125%关税仍执行，对其它国家的关税先暂停90天，仅保留10%的基础关税。
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+ J; Y. G6 U {0 I这为市场带来积极动力，部分机构下调美国经济衰退预测。
6 L. y9 c% o4 w, M* P8 I然而，即便这10%的基础关税，也已是2024年平均关税的四倍，加之25%的进口汽车及零件关税，对美国通胀压力大。通胀主要由房租、二手车3 n. B3 ?2 n/ u7 e0 @7 S
& z% @& O8 q# ]! A% A和服务业构成，进口车及零件涨价或推高二手车价格，加剧通胀。
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2 N1 d8 u3 s% ]/ [3 ^6 q) e5月的CPI、PCE数据难以反映全面影响，今天消息看维持90天正好到6月结束 实际上大A与币圈美股呈反周期，这两三个月大A应该也是会有个牛2 [1 c& F0 o) X1 S
- t3 q7 K3 i! D2 {* T) }4 T1 S市启动前的黄金坑，美联储纪要显示暂无提前降息意图，仍依赖未来就业与经济数据。# b1 [2 v5 x2 {3 x9 R
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今天的买入情绪还是不错的，上次在乌龙事件的时候我们就说过，用户有钱，只是不敢随便的下场，但这次关税暂时缓解，甚至是衰退都有可能
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8 |. S0 @& K: ^0 ?# @) m' j4 q延后，就有部分投资者原因博弈一下。$ I2 p; }, y( g# |0 r# A1 k" {
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如果你没吃到比特币这波超8%的快拉，真的没必要自责。 这波行情本来就不在技术图里。 纯粹是懂王一句话，情绪直接点火。
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从数据上来看市场反弹带来小幅换手上升，BTC主力换手方为短期投资者，而长期筹码仍在观望中。83,000美元附近形成新的筹码密; s' J7 n- Q' L6 J ^. p# q- M
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集区形成“筑底”雏形。93,000 - 98,000美元区间的投资者非常稳健，仅有极少量换手，即便BTC回撤到74,000美元也未恐慌，说明该区目( \1 a- j; ?- ?% h
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前并无强压。
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