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下周宏观展望：七大央行轮番轰炸市场，英伟达 GTC 2026 大会召开
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比推消息，美、伊、以三方冲突已进入第三周，能源大宗商品市场的持续混乱正演变为重大问题。简而言之，油价走高意味着通胀上升，进而削弱企业盈利能力，最终导致市场陷入苦战。而进入下周，七大央行将公布利率决议，市场将在极大不确定性中艰难前行。
市场最关注的是美联储：
周四 02:00，美联储 FOMC 公布利率决议和经济预期摘要；
周四 02:30，美联储主席鲍威尔召开货币政策新闻发布会。
市场普遍预计，美联储决策者将在下周的会议上维持利率不变。最新宏观局势进展已完全改变了美联储的利率前景。周四会议将是鲍威尔倒数第二场会议，因此预计平衡且审慎的基调将占据主导。即便如此，所有人的目光都将集中在经济预测摘要（SEP）和点阵图上，因为在当前油价飙升后，两次降息的预期已经减弱。
此外，周二 11:30，澳洲联储公布利率决议；周三 21:45，加拿大央行公布利率决议；周四待定，日本央行公布利率决议；周四 16:30，瑞士央行公布利率决议；周四 20:00，英国央行公布利率决议和会议纪要；周四 21:15，欧洲央行公布利率决议。
上述全球重要经济体的利率决议也将对市场资金走向产生不可预计的影响。
下周将公布的重要经济数据包括：
周一 21:15，美国 2 月工业产出月率；
周三 04:30，美国至 3 月 13 日当周 API 原油库存；
周三 20:30，美国 2 月 PPI 年率、美国 2 月 PPI 月率；
周四 20:30，美国至 3 月 14 日当周初请失业金人数、美国 3 月费城联储制造业指数；
美欧经济数据将密集发布，其中美国 2 月生产者物价指数（PPI）、欧元区 2 月消费者物价指数（CPI）终值、美国至 3 月 14 日当周初请失业金人数，以及 3 月费城联储制造业指数备受市场关注。这些指标将进一步揭示通胀传导路径、劳动力市场韧性和制造业复苏力度，对美联储和欧洲央行的政策预期以及全球资产定价产生重要影响。
最后，英伟达 GTC 2026 大会将于 3 月 16 日至 19 日在加州圣何塞举行，这是 AI 领域最受瞩目的年度盛会。大会焦点集中在黄仁勋的开场 keynote，预计将覆盖 AI 全栈更新，包括芯片、软件、模型和应用，主题围绕物理 AI（Physical AI）、代理式 AI（Agentic AI）、AI 工厂（AI Factories）、推理（Inference）和加速计算。市场高度期待黄仁勋预告的震惊世界的新芯片，可能涉及专为推理和代理 AI 优化的新型架构，如潜在的 LPU（Language Processing Unit）或类似 Groq 风格的低功耗推理芯片，旨在解决 Token 成本、ROI 和能效瓶颈。
风险提示： 本新闻涉及的内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。依据发布的信息以及所表达的意见行事所造成的一切后果由行事者自负。文章链接 |
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