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[虚拟币交流]
贝莱德斥资1.25亿美元购买比特币为何令比特币交易员感到不安？（转）
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加密货币市场正面临压力。: H, e6 g2 M4 N
7 J6 z! k' f. y* b/ s! u截至发稿时，比特币 (比特币) 在未能守住 94,000 美元上方后下跌 2.6%，至 89,596 美元左右的低点。与此同时，以太坊 [以太坊] 也出现类似走势，下跌 3.72% 至 3,038 美元。
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. W1 M; y& w4 o6 J" C3 s& P8 v此次剧烈回调加剧了散户投资者的恐慌情绪。然而，在恐慌背后，机构巨头们却在增加投资，加倍下注。
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$ W; Z! F. o/ m- N; Y* H3 m: B) G! o贝莱德存入了比特币和以太坊
/ T7 e! D2 k' m( u( q1 Y2 M5 T9 r12月5日，贝莱德已存1.255亿美元BTC以及价值 250 万美元的以太坊到 Coinbase。
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8 ~; S, h% b, O6 i分析师泰德·皮洛斯警告说，这可能预示着机构抛售潮的到来，并可能加剧市场的不稳定性。
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$ v! I6 u- h3 q/ @# b0 E; Z他说：
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“销量还会继续增长吗？”
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5 e: l; x5 o' [. d4 i% Q) } C5 g因此，问题来了：目前的下跌是进一步抛售的信号，还是仅仅是精明的投资者在悄悄地为这轮由 ETF 驱动的周期设定了新的、更高的底线？
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此举为何引发担忧？& h- e- o' Y) K, ^, c" y& g
比特币近期价格下跌，未能守住 94,000 美元的关口，这不可避免地将人们的注意力集中在大型机构的动向上，特别是贝莱德数百万美元的比特币存款。ETH到 Coinbase。
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在加密货币市场中，向交易所的大额转账很快就会被视为看跌信号，主要是因为存在清算风险，因为这会增加可出售的供应量。
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6 @& m+ j2 c# O; ?( j8 X, \由于 ETF 资金流出和宏观经济的不确定性已经加剧了市场的紧张情绪，市场对此类波动反应强烈。( H1 L5 _1 H- x: e4 H7 U9 W
8 B3 S6 G. [ W( _" ~1 J因此，如果机构真的进行清算，新增供应可能会压低价格，过去的一些案例也加剧了这种担忧，这些案例表明，大额存款先于价格调整出现。8 a7 z7 u: T* Z. q/ j
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对于散户投资者而言，看到大型基金将资产转移到交易平台通常预示着即将出现问题。
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然而，这种恐慌忽略了一个关键点：管理数十亿美元的 ETF 通常需要进行与即将出售无关的例行转移。0 ?) B, T2 E- O) B# N6 n" @
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还会有更多销售吗？3 r, Y+ I: r- E# Z1 v3 I
然而，仅凭定金并不能自动转化为后续销售。7 Z& J2 r) {" a. {
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对于像贝莱德这样的 ETF 发行商而言，此类基金变动通常反映了日常运营需求、托管调整、赎回处理、再平衡或其他内部工作流程。
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; N% @4 a4 J6 ~/ `7 q贝莱德依靠 Coinbase Prime 进行机构托管和大宗交易，这体现了一种系统性的策略，而不是恐慌性抛售。
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通常情况下，这种大额转账是 ETF 创建和赎回过程中的常规步骤，旨在保持价格一致。
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. t* `1 ~* O! A7 a3 l即便如此，技术指标仍然表明短期前景看跌。
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截至撰稿时，BTC 的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和移动平均收敛/发散指标 (MACD) 均低于其中性水平，证实了短期至中期内抛售动能的主导地位。
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i# X3 v+ _ e5 O来源：Trading View
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要彻底扭转市场局面，从“熊市主导”转变为“牛市突破”，比特币必须成功突破并守住 98,000 美元的关键阻力位。
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在此之前，市场技术面依然低迷，容易受到波动影响。
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% F7 h1 d, _8 a% t最后想说的话! A2 D& Y: {6 E4 t, w# a! ^$ u6 e
零售市场出现恐慌，但机构市场的行为表明，它们对市场波动的反应要审慎得多。
' m1 j' _4 ] Y$ O" z技术指标短期内仍然对空头有利，比特币需要重新夺回 98,000 美元才能真正扭转走势。4 H/ `. p7 o) {% Z" q6 {
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