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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，
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, k. e& M; o7 z, t! e稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的8 |6 n9 J1 g: N# q
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必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。/ b$ _0 R8 k$ w8 a
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他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一
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是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留" p- x5 b6 e' {" [+ Z7 c
( s* x5 i+ ^6 x# B0 E发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。
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杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、4 e z9 c1 P7 W9 C2 d$ T2 @
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包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，
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也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。
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$ u$ B( H1 Q" J* ~- ~ 关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则2 A4 G; }. r. u8 Z7 w" E
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可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下0 p) e' B8 {# _& f2 `# n. U
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一个代币化的全球金融体系。
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! u' V8 d/ o% K4 I" }7 }6 E 在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定( B5 j9 H% y1 X/ p6 Q0 w1 \3 C5 m
1 l9 n" J; s: `: s币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新1 W& p$ g$ [& [1 J( f
. Q/ q, M6 {. Q3 Q$ a之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。3 X1 X0 I/ ?, M5 g& n. ~" }: L
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人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。
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