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[lastpost] => 2763419 比特币、以太坊价格下跌：比特币119980美元，以太坊4618.49美元 1757215864 右耳
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
+ z }8 n2 m5 l) U* q比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。3 m* d" f. s& ?5 f0 M( C8 e
比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。; @5 V9 h+ b, s' ~% v0 ]8 [3 `# l
' e! Q0 |0 A/ k7 b5 l8 O尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…* c: O8 X" p! n
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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4 ]% x( u$ l/ {! I% f0 N- d但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。/ W: ]7 x; g5 k
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。! _5 i+ |* E4 }# a. i, ]+ P4 c
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 # ~1 d/ Q' ^5 k8 f& g# [
: y; t% U% b2 j. I0 N1 t然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。/ x0 _1 T9 a2 `- {: M# R1 m8 u
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
# K: W0 v2 Q! d几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。& E* E- I w# a5 [* W
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 5 ?2 F! c$ ?, l/ b
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。
4 G7 j: l- E4 v" ?$ a1 m ?
7 @1 D% U; {$ |' g此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 . b/ e. V0 A# v4 b3 P6 a. @ `
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。* S5 g; q* N. y/ w0 _3 `4 Z
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？+ M8 u. Z6 Q2 h
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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# x; ~5 u0 d2 C3 z& a但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。 : z6 s5 ?- J: J' A
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