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[lastpost] => 2750392 比特币交易员注意！—为什么这个指标预示BTC可能下跌20%（转） 1752889314 22301
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
. N/ g! |% b; m$ E比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
1 x5 [3 A! w8 L; @1 s9 u6 D$ ^比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。2 S5 x5 i9 t4 e- S+ b
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尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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+ p0 |/ u) l5 E @6 `3 Q' ?鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…, L% {8 ]5 |5 @8 l* T
鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。$ q' y/ Q# {9 L% m' n" r, a- t
( O, z' I2 l2 k j$ I6 T* d( I( M但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。3 s$ C+ h# e/ n* J, V' g9 S& ^* ?
) E2 C3 e; G5 o6 h) F g0 ?因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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* A; I0 ~: u0 y8 C' a最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。 * I0 Z# ]5 P1 l/ ]. Y% T! K0 K
" X" ^: f; s) o4 S. t( c然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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5 d% I' y6 g- f2 R4 t+ N5 `* C估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突
/ a& { l0 B. R几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。/ R4 X8 w- o8 j
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。* W' @3 I' w; F; G
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 8 G y% e( \ M6 s% E
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。, G! }: z; Y% Z
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结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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" A) ?0 k& N5 }) z5 OBTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？, m/ H* z a5 a& |4 X7 d
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。
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% F( V' N& N |5 t; Q/ D/ E# U但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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