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[虚拟币交流]
比特币或迎来今年最糟的一周,“小摩”警告:还有回调空间!-转载
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摩根大通分析师表示,比特币的价格仍有进一步下跌的空间。
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随着对新兴现货比特币ETF的兴趣减弱,十只现货比特币ETF创下自1月11日推出以来最大的三日流出量。截至3月20日,比特币已从历史高点回落超过10%,但摩根大通策略师警告称,回调还有空间。
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3 c% b& V3 v6 U# q外媒表示,从周一到周三,现货比特币ETF净流出7.42亿美元,表现为Grayscale Bitcoin Trust的资金流出,以及贝莱德和富达投资等比特币ETF产品的认购有所放缓。截至周三,这些基金已获得114亿美元的净流入,仍是ETF类别中首次亮相最成功的基金之一。被转换为ETF的Grayscale Bitcoin Trust已经出现了133亿美元的资金流出。
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摩根大通策略师重申了他们在二月份的预测,他们表示,比特币“看起来仍然超买”,并警告称比特币仍有进一步下跌的趋势,直到4月份迎来减半事件。
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, S; e' z' H y" M8 A, ?: K0 ]摩根大通策略师Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou领导的团队在周四的一份报告中写道,CME比特币期货的持续未平仓合约以及ETF资金流的减少是比特币价格看跌的重要信号。
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7 t2 n) T% b8 T* o策略师指出:“现货比特币ETF的资金净流入速度显著放缓,过去一周出现了大规模资金流出。这表明比特币现货ETF不太可能始终保持单向净流入的状态。随着减半事件临近,这种获利回吐现象更有可能持续下去,尤其是在尽管过去一周比特币价格出现回调,但仍看起来超买的背景下。”4 a8 X/ C& [8 {; G( t- i+ [
$ h) l. v$ A1 J9 `上个月,该投行预测在4月比特币减半事件引发市场狂热消退后,比特币价格将下滑至42000美元左右。+ }' M! m: s5 [! d
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ZayeCapitalMarkets首席投资官NaeemAslam表示,尽管3月14日比特币创下了近73840美元的历史新高,但散户投资者的热情可能正在降温。$ W# \# e2 b* c6 x6 W
4 C; l3 O. W5 F( ` U! S, a" EAslam表示:“许多人质疑此次反弹的力度。减半即将到来,如果这个事件无法真正维持比特币价格的上涨势头,那就意味着我们将面临严重的回调,比特币价格可能会跌破50000美元。”% G2 w: p% h3 k" f
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