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[lastpost] => 2760231 比特币怀疑论者彼得希夫警告称：BTC可能跌至75,000美元-转 1756250911 Lhrlhrgo
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国盛证券今日发文分析称，参考黄金ETF推出对金价的推动，# O& T ~7 H" t; p& F5 C
% ^, w" v/ X2 A5 r0 `- }
比特币现货ETF值得期待。黄金ETF的推出对金价产生积极推动，
8 v/ Z& r5 x8 F. u
- j. i8 _! V) ^9 D$ A7 L' S% P这对比特币现货ETF有着积极的启示。需要注意的是，世界对黄
: d" L% F1 h1 R9 [0 I, o' w- S7 A6 O7 N
, V: k) ^; V# U' V金的认可并非由现货ETF而产生，而若比特币现货ETF获批，则意
3 S% F) s# x$ c9 [, R6 r, N2 h$ M0 c* Q# f) ?: E5 O( m) M) ~
味着庞大的传统财富世界对比特币、甚至Web3.0世界的认可，将9 T5 A$ r! ~/ J( C; y# s& l7 t
# q. a4 G6 @, G& [进一步加速两者的融合。这是一个从0到1的过程，边际变化远超: _0 H7 ]3 C. F9 Q6 c8 \
/ o H4 Y& O/ f/ T7 U# m0 L ~是黄金ETF获批。
( p4 i) j7 u8 z# \- d
* V# `) b" i! w) d& H. O# t. M当然，另一层面不同的是，比特币总数固定在2100万枚，而黄金
2 {. F( z/ `# Z! M3 r0 a5 u
( K- O( h' s7 l6 v# y仍然有不断的新增产出。比特币现货ETF在美获批，有望带来增量% B& x: H9 P5 K% v% g+ i
; i6 ?, |: @: @+ H0 S' ~1 t/ ]
资金。Galaxy Digital测算得到的结论是：比特币在现货ETF获批的8 T2 I D2 b& B8 n: a
+ ]! }4 k) d# m1 o4 Y第一年内预计上涨74%（以2023年9月30日比特币价格26920美元& m- X, q1 ^5 T$ V
W! ]4 j# G7 q) B# W为起点）；在较长时间内，投资比特币产品的潜在资金规模为1250亿7 Q8 O0 S, @& g( z( H3 m
- c4 X" h: }) _5 z
美元至4500亿美元之间。
, |$ E" W9 K4 E F& G. Y0 B" N i3 W. Y3 I+ Q* H" k7 Z
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