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骰宝游戏是在一个笼子里装着三个骰子,翻转摇晃笼子就使骰子滚动。玩的人可以赌从1到6任何一个数,只要一个骰子出现他说的数时,他就得到他赌的钱数。参与者往往这样想:如果这个笼子里只有一个骰子,我赌的数就只能在六次中出现一次。如果有两个骰子,则六次中就会出现两次。有三个骰子时,六次中就会有三次赢,这是对等的。6 e$ `) N0 J2 {9 V# S
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看了你发的这个帖子,一直关注你是高赔率的玩家,这个色子游戏,买一个数字,命中率50%,并且不被豹子杀,不会被抽水,我一直没想明白这个问题,赌场优势在哪里?多谢指教。7 H2 r5 L" K. c! q7 J: `# i
5 Z& A& g( b" o# j. n如上的问题,我在隔壁闲逛的时候有个版主提交的。对于大部分人来讲,尤其是没有接触过排列组合的人来说,看起来完全是个赤裸裸的1/2概率的游戏,3个骰子,6个数。# V) u. l. F( [: r9 j0 p
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事实上,这个骰宝游戏。庄家优势高达7%以上~!!$ H2 f7 B( W/ j: N
: H5 h' d. A5 i' p- s7 R你获胜的几率不是50% 而是 42.129629%3 P9 e1 s# e' i, O* Q3 \' \ q
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方案1:) D3 a. N/ K4 L: x
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3个骰子的结果共有6^3 = 216种,其中“不含其中某个数字”的结果共有5^3 = 125种。于是,“至少含1个某种数字”的结果就有216-125 = 90种。
# ^. `6 \4 F$ s; e6 R0 G: U- c+ k+ f3 `# U6 b/ i
方案2:
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还有一个侧面可以想~你输掉赌局的概率是 5/6 * 5/6 * 5/6 这个结果就显然了。你有超过57%的可能会输掉赌局。8 l1 P- s- T. y: K, C+ h
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数学不能凭经验。 数学是博彩的基石。不存在没有庄家优势的游戏。
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游戏最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟好运太差了。 |
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