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[打法交流] 揭秘百家乐赌场优势(转)
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1#
赌场优势
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为什么久赌必输?这首先是一个数学问题,因为赌场是游戏规则的制定者,具有赌场优势。2 ^7 z7 @; Z. U4 s; |& s3 A7 G

! e2 ^" Z. x* }7 N我们来举一个简单例子。赌场里最流行的游戏是百家乐,这是一款扑克牌游戏。在牌桶里有8副牌,荷官会给庄家和闲家各发2-3张牌,按照一定的规则比大小。
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9 [" _+ X5 x3 e+ |百家乐游戏) u" O. F$ l% G  w7 b6 @/ N0 J$ j

8 F+ q! ?. o5 e5 o# z$ ]具体的发牌规则比较复杂,我们不做讨论,我们只要知道:由于发牌顺序和规则的原因,庄家和闲家获胜的概率是不同的:
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经过计算,在一次牌局中,庄家获胜的概率是45.86%, 闲家获胜的概率是44.62%, 和局的概率是9.52%。赔率一般是:庄家1赔0.95,闲家1赔1,和局1赔8。如果出现和局,下注庄家和闲家的筹码不会输掉,而是会留在原位等待下一局。' S% v$ F7 w' ]1 G& {8 C
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  ~6 u, J1 O/ u. ^& j* G  Z百家乐游戏获胜概率
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那么,你觉得百家乐是一个公平的游戏吗?& o/ D& F/ ~- f( B

( k( Q: E! h! c* \如果下注庄家1元,你有45.86%的可能性获胜,拿回1.95元,也有44.62%的可能性空手而回,还有9.52%的可能性是平局,你的筹码会继续留在桌面上。所以,一局结束后,你手里的筹码的数学期望是:
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6 L' j; u7 X) ^" S+ \' o; {E=45.86%×1.95+44.62%×0+9.52%×1=0.9894元+ J! ^1 ?. J" K
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也就是下注1元,平均亏掉1.06%。5 D. e8 ~; a, t

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; u1 e7 O( i) F& h& S下注庄家1元的数学期望- K2 x, c6 D9 k# N& Z

- }9 A7 W% w4 ^, @同样的方法,可以计算出下注闲家1元,平均可以拿回0.9876元,亏掉了1.24%。( l- h- d1 q8 t! b/ T; k

8 m; w& W& z: z- z! sE=45.86%×0+44.62%×2+9.52%×1=0.9876
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也就是平均亏掉1.24%。
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下注闲家1元的数学期望  h6 i, e/ i7 y9 ]$ s7 H

" K9 `( B+ ?% h- m) g& T那么下注平局呢?如果庄家大或者闲家大,你将会损失掉这1元。如果和局,你将会拿回9元,所以你平均可以拿回0.8568元。3 G8 l: o# ?8 j/ j" B7 g- m

2 R& ^' C2 t& j# U( c+ u( eE=45.86%×0+44.62%×0+9.52%×9=0.85682 _$ v$ U1 `3 ^; E/ }
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也就是下注和局,平均亏掉14.36%!这真是败家最快的方法了。# W6 J/ N! w# D" _4 D
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  m3 v1 [0 z- W" W6 }6 L下注平局1元的数学期望
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4 l, l! F0 ~% N: X( _  k+ T+ O5 {百家乐这款游戏,你下注庄家,平均一局亏掉1.06%,下注闲家,平均一局亏掉1.24%,下注和局,一局亏掉14.35%,相当于股市里的一个半跌停。无论你如何下注,从概率上讲赌场都会赚你的钱,这就是赌场优势。: z1 q: z0 w( X5 G3 T" U# ?

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百家乐游戏赌场优势- C  v# A$ ~9 E/ ^! G( Y8 U

* e2 z3 f2 Y& m7 Z  E5 W: n6 j* u在赌场里的所有玩法,赌场都有优势,只是优势大小不同,平均一次下注,少则亏一两个点,多则亏三五十个点。这个结果是可以预料的,因为赌场不是慈善机构,为你提供这么好的服务,显然是要有代价的。6 O. H" W5 S) P7 N

$ S3 u# m7 |' D$ j数学可以告诉你钱是怎么输的,但是不能帮助你从赌场里赢钱。在电影《雨人》中,主角的哥哥患有自闭症,但是却具有超强的记忆力,靠着记忆里记下了八副牌的顺序,赢了一大笔钱。现实生活中这是不可能的,因为荷官洗牌时并不会给你时间记牌,而当发牌到少于一定数目时,又会重新开始洗牌。想着凭借数学或者记忆力在赌场里赚钱,是异想天开的。$ a, |" A% S6 ^

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参与人数 1贡献值 +3 收起 理由
avatar 天策-菱玖 + 3 理论区转载发帖奖励

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2#
这个优势还是非常的明显了啊。
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赌场肯定是有不少的优势的
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4#
有盈利的时候就该下线,全部方法长玩就是还回去
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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
必输的局什么我必须是不会弄的啦
avatar
6#
全数的必输都是坏的运气问题而已,祈祷楼主下次必定赢
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各个游戏的吧也是关注一下了
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8#
我其实就是来看大家说得荷官而已哦
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9#
其实每一种方法的吧~这个也是留意一下了
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荷官最主要还是看外表,没有外表的大致上我不会玩
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11#
每一种游戏也是值得去看看了解下的啦。
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12#
看了这个游戏我感觉也是需要游戏起来了的哦。
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今次游戏也还是很不错的盈利来的啊
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14#
每种方法也是值得去看看了解下的啦。
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15#
此次方法在论坛的运气还是值得肯定的.
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16#
有些荷官一瞧就是不同凡响,还是需要好好关注一下的。
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17#
运气好了,再坑的荷官都挡不住你
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