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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
) \- {; ]1 u- F# g; ?至少有以下几个原因：! t6 b+ q4 n& `! ]8 ~
8 J2 I- K3 G2 O( w5 i: u. }+ Q- \
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。- n5 s2 P+ X+ p3 }
p/ Q+ m" h; F) @; x: j
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化 a8 \5 o: I( x) \; D/ |( Z
4 C' u& F( @& \7 p4 I机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案1 k" |4 O, r I) { V: F$ j
- R( y+ |8 k: G3 ^4 \3 V! Y5 Z出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
0 ^, M0 S4 P x/ t
( o( h2 s2 I4 L+ _1 W! _$ B. E325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数0 b0 c1 }5 f7 C# S3 f: K% h& }
5 h F7 ?) j( Z e据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有# T D8 P. A$ w4 v; X9 _
* E: g, i' `1 ^0 K. f7 i
达到200亿美金）. j- o" G: }' \. N
/ |( W& J) m( V1 \4 p2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊$ m% ^# p0 m8 j# n* _5 P1 ~% `$ c
. `) W8 m2 i. S2 ]- H9 d' W" `; C
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化! H N/ e; Y- s3 q/ Z3 c( E2 C
) r! y4 }/ t* s2 c( g( v
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。% J% ~- M- O& k$ P
* u- m4 G, \. w( u& K- F! m" M3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
" G+ I4 I c6 [, z
- q- c) Q; y8 W/ ~8 c资金的信任和青睐。
8 N/ H: U+ N! H& u/ j6 @
7 q i/ a6 n- o- q4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美# k v% L9 M8 R7 w' \
! I' V2 a, [2 X5 a1 C
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入! S& G9 b- E1 \! L- P- x% u! c8 Z
- J- t/ w Q5 ]3 Z4 ~+ X& M" m5 M, b比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
3 S( d1 S6 `; Q. L' q& s3 O6 [' x' U& l
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