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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
' S, ?* J) @4 |5 P$ d- t& G; h2 {% N
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
' \4 R! X& ^4 h6 @" w, Y* o我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在- H5 ]+ P" o' x8 M
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过, V5 z- O; }( V. R" J9 N$ x
( g7 E3 ?, W) {+ Q& S' r1 Q; z
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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3 F! \) `; S( t去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长 N% Y$ ~7 O t+ |
+ A1 @$ u/ X( ]- ^4 l) U+ j( Y
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
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Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和/ o8 ]5 a" J$ `5 g) B4 w
7 a& D7 B5 P7 P7 ^4 J7 JETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿- r! l" C9 A# X. M
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美金）。1 e3 C/ Z: c* @; D8 ]
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2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态( D; k8 I6 F$ V7 K- D3 g. G
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比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去$ u& v" x( h& Q! L% b
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构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
/ l: A, A2 v- Z# ]
4 r7 ]6 h! q0 h' Z尤其大资金的信任和青睐。+ k" d4 `# C: X' n9 _8 v5 ^3 O
& z. N2 w% b% e( e2 q# q, ~* t4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL- G5 B& d& i' ?' w1 e, Z
2 C5 W7 Z: p. H+ u- P4 t1 ?: |约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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, W& O8 B9 ^: v5 o: O$ h1 \果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
% `9 ^3 O( [' n. ]2 _' w& G1 [! D. O# _- N* M8 {. Z
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。6 L$ }0 X p' O( c' ]
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