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[lastpost] => 2645541 据比推数据,ETH现报3134.31美元,10分钟涨幅为0.19%,突破3100美元关口,价格波动较大,请谨慎交易,控制风险。 1714173421 比推快讯
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比特币、以太坊的反转趋势是否可持续?
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在过去的几周里,以太坊一直处于主导地位,并决定了加密市场的趋势。在过去的几天里,上述趋势只会进一步放大。由于主要的顶级代币贬值了6%-7%,几乎整个加密货币市场在一天前都以红色交易。
然而,周四出现了趋势逆转,以太坊铺平了道路。截至发稿时,所有加密货币的总估值与昨天相比上涨了 4.77%。一方面,BTC上涨了2.8%,而ETH在同一时间段内上涨了8%。
市场同步移动
在过去的几周里,股票市场和加密市场一直在朝着同一个方向发展。在 7 月中旬至 8 月中旬期间,标准普尔 500 指数上涨了 16.2% 以上。大约在同一时期,比特币和以太坊的价值也分别上涨了 33.3% 和 102.8%。紧接着,垮台就开始了。
昨天,随着债券收益率下降,美国股指在大约一个月内上涨最多。事实上,投资者对美联储官员周三发表的鹰派言论置若罔闻。纳斯达克综合指数、标准普尔 500 指数和道琼斯工业平均指数上一次达到更高的单日百分比涨幅是在 8 月 10 日。
“……投资者怀疑这是一个长期的趋势。”
宏观看涨也对加密货币产生了积极影响。鉴于市场共享的高度相关性,所有图表上的最后一根蜡烛都是绿色的。然而,就像投资者预计股市上涨趋势不会持续一样,比特币的涨势似乎并不可持续。然而,对于以太坊来说,情况可能略有不同。
以太坊投机交易如火如荼
如上所述,以太坊市场目前是最不稳定的,因为它的价格走势一直是最高的。在昨天的抛售中,它是受影响最大的顶级代币之一。相反,周四它的涨幅相对较高。
以太坊在过去两天出现的剧烈价格波动可归因于市场参与者在衍生品市场进行的投机交易。如下图所示,ETH 的现货:期货交易量最近一直在下降,这表明与投资者相比,交易者现在一直在发号施令。
然而,就比特币而言,相反的趋势正在发挥作用。因此,可以公平地推断,当未来发生回调时,与以太坊相比,比特币的损失将相当少。
值得注意的是,加密市场明天将经历期权到期,大多数比特币交易者都看跌。根据 CoinGlass 的数据,BTC 的看跌期权:看涨期权比率为 1.21,表明与买入合约相比,目前卖出合约的数量更多。
然而,就以太坊而言,该比率低于 1 - 为 0.91 - 证实交易员持乐观态度。因此,在接下来的几个交易日中,如果买入偏见持续存在,则可能表明交易者正在操纵价格以在明天到期时获得收益。为了实现同样的目标,股市在周四的交易时间内支持方向性偏见同样重要。
尽管比特币和以太坊交易者预计市场将朝着不同的方向发展,但有一点是肯定的——波动性将在接下来的 24 小时内持续存在。
今天的分享就到这里,后期会给大家带来其他赛道的龙头项目分析。感兴趣的可以点个关注。我也会不定期整理一些前沿资询和项目点评,欢迎各位志同道合的币圈人一起来探索。有问题可以评论提问或者私信 来源:金色财经 |
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