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[lastpost] => 2758085 谷歌增持比特币矿商 TeraWulf 股份，其股价飙升（转） 1755572231 小钱儿
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过去一周，比特币[BTC]一直受困于低流动性流入，导致自 8 月 14 日重新创下历史新高以来已下跌 10%。' J7 Y- B; I4 D' J" P8 \
$ t& D6 I' b" Q! C/ S7 E值得注意的是，这种流动性枯竭通常预示着潜在的看跌情景，因为当市场达到季节性高潮时，投资者开始抛售资产。
8 N2 ^, C1 F# ~, X/ z' [1 F
4 q7 o* ?" H+ y' M1 F然而，新的宏观经济见解认为，尽管逆转的风险仍然存在，但市场仍然看涨。
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, M* _; L; B3 [2 D! G! c宏观信号依然支持" |: ]. \# L4 b, ?
美国宏观经济指标阿尔弗莱克塔尔根据美联储金融压力指数 (FFSI)，比特币和标准普尔 500 指数在未来几天都有进一步上涨的空间。! h' [1 `+ P0 u: D1 s4 X
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该指数追踪市场紧张程度，高于 0 的高读数表示卖方压力，而低于 0 的数值则反映市场平静和购买兴趣。
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从历史上看，该指标曾预测过重大的市场波动，包括2020年封锁期间。截至发稿时，FFSI低于0，预示着未来仍有增长空间。( X& l8 o6 t3 N% e a
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市场情绪似乎更倾向于比特币而非标准普尔 500 指数，尤其是考虑到过去一年的表现，比特币上涨了 86.2%，而标准普尔指数则上涨了 15.3%。阿尔忒弥斯.
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# o1 W, z/ p6 u: s1 a/ c4 P这表明，如果购买恢复，投资者可能会将资金投入比特币而不是标准普尔，因为他们的风险偏好依然强劲。$ k8 }9 F( m$ E1 E! ~5 H
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著名加密货币分析师 Joao Wedson 最近将此描述为市场“平静/观察”阶段，但警告称“价格走势通常比宏观指标反应更快”，从而使资产处于灰色地带。5 y; k" H0 r3 n+ o: g& `! d8 |% m$ E
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他补充道，5 c3 }/ Z/ S5 ?$ D: L7 t
, H n5 J" h, Y+ X3 \4 I$ T“如果FFSI跌破并保持在0以上，这将是一个警告信号，表明美国局势可能不稳定，并直接影响风险市场。”: B/ A% V; L# v( I0 p
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韦德森警告称，随着我们进入 2025 年末和 2026 年初，这种情况可能会引发“亚洲主要经济体”更广泛的经济不稳定，从而可能阻止比特币的上涨。2 @, s" v. k6 l
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他敦促投资者做好准备，以免措手不及。
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2 i- {+ h" C. j3 f9 }5 b亚洲比特币市场再度走强
6 x6 H+ V: e* a/ f4 l% k9 W( W+ _. v亚洲市场正显示出复苏的早期迹象，随着韩国溢价指数达到 0.3，投资者再次对比特币进行买入。CryptoQuant.9 v, I# l# a2 y, S r4 `
; f6 @. Y3 Q7 n; _: D0 H5 }( q此前，该指数一直处于持续的下跌趋势中，并以红色标记。持续的上涨趋势可能会引发更多资金流入，尤其是来自新投资者群体的资金。
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相比之下，截至发稿时，关键市场指标 Coinbase 溢价指数已降至 0.017，这表明美国投资者正在增加卖方活动。 }9 |# Y- ~1 L: D, K7 j3 R; U
' g2 N2 H; _4 N0 P; l" E7 u然而，如果这一指标反弹，它可能会增强围绕比特币日益增长的看涨情绪。
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当前离线
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宏观偏暖，量弱，先小仓吧
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当前离线
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当前离线
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