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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。/ Q7 l$ z# q. R1 b6 F8 E
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。
; g' f1 C; Q2 Z& q在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。! O# |9 s p9 D% V4 h: Y
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尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。. O$ s& h# |7 m! O1 _2 ? w
1 z* `! u& Y' J9 t/ ~长期持有者没有抛售迹象
. E% Y4 ^# {5 Q! K; Z+ h9 k9 H比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。) `: |) t A( U
4 h( R. L w4 M; C值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。% e) a3 S' Q' q, \! y7 v
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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1 K5 r& ^; P; j( e8 |这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。0 k! a: D) | _, W
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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9 m4 t, {) L; HAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。
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, M; @" t& w7 b$ @+ P8 N3 m现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降- k3 b- {( `7 p( j
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。& E, k) q5 N6 F& w- f
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过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。
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3 X) g G) i6 G. W, D+ g" o5 E与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。
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7 Z# e4 V8 i( o此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
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问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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) a g4 L9 l! L* J T& y加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？3 _0 ]* D7 W4 q" V3 ~ k3 W
截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。/ @+ `! Q+ P! E4 d* r2 I
+ L4 u% r' V8 Y) ?当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。
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该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。& S* |, P6 b& q
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当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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