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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
[复制链接]
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。* P4 Q( H4 h% D* r9 |$ l
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。, E' z8 W6 t( n1 e/ ~* u, s$ Q' _# |
+ Q7 |" s4 `* _. w; m比特币重新分配正在进行9 s+ `: b2 P. b& S9 ~, E' n
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。2 n& B/ E. f& _5 g& _/ ^8 t
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。6 g8 A- c4 z, Z) b0 a0 m' M2 m
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根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。! G1 @: @) R! L- u) y
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。2 Y" R$ {/ W4 Z
& @9 ~& b% \/ A仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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+ G1 B) P) r6 l$ r9 N; C当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。. w, S! m7 x/ M& p
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, H+ b: k* \% N; }- A/ N% R/ \比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微- [7 W- r I2 Q# d2 S6 {# P
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。4 m% _6 x. e& h/ H- q
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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现货交易商调整
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( S( B6 r6 w$ s, w现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。/ y4 F: V7 R6 n+ |* `0 [
: Y3 S* v! M5 D4 i* u6 l1 b2 H0 z仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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