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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元！ 若贺锦丽胜选，BTC恐回测四万支撑位（转）
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7 K& `1 U+ p! x4 z& G; X, m伯恩斯坦分析师表示，尽管比特币长期看涨，但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势，若川普胜选，比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元；若贺锦丽获胜，比特币可能将下跌，并测试40,000 美元支撑位。
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# x) }7 \/ U @. E, |4 `备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时，华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦（Bernstein）分析师近期也再度重申表示，从长期来看，无论大选结果如何，在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下，比特币都将向好发展。/ i( }5 y5 p) ]3 @/ c9 E5 b
- v1 D( E% i' g贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元
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! y3 N& d/ x% F2 h9 S9 R1 D. e) A不过，伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看，如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜，短期内市场可能将受到打击，比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位：: k* ^# H( b( c
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如果贺锦丽获胜，在短期内，我们预计比特币将下跌，并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。4 N6 r3 u/ `9 H& Q9 p9 g* d
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选，将更有助于比特币上涨，BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元：- Q6 h6 J( o- U! b
1 o/ P4 _9 ^, z' J: g) U川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响，在川普获胜的情况下，我们预计比特币将再创历史新高，达到80,000 或90,000 美元。
' C/ Z% v' ?, \; g4 l/ E3 p6 V& n山寨币在选举前将保持震荡8 e! b" u# W9 z4 `& j
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同时，伯恩斯坦分析师还预计，包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币，在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡，因为除了选举结果外，山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。% K# H* s& |5 |3 ]. V# W
7 F# ]) W! `$ a$ R比特币下杀6 万大关
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而在加密货币市场方面，尽管稍早美股收涨，但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑，今（10）晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元，近24 小时下跌2.73%，能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。" K# i3 g0 g& v
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川普胜率达到53.2％
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; a) M+ o6 T4 o! r. @据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示，市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离，为53.2％，贺锦丽只有46.2％。但民调结果本来就常有波动，请谨慎判断。" d# R' k7 T% D5 ~" b) u k" A/ R
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