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[虚拟币资讯]
币世界余勋6.13 cpi不降反升 加息压力倍增 恰逢以太清算 短期不宜过于乐观
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没有断更、wx被环境限制、6.17恢复。
6 }5 o) q3 J0 J7 d9 n8 \: P行情补充、
) b' ~6 u) O6 t- o- ?在6.11号、cpi超出预期、加息压力提升。 : c" y4 I& {% Q
市场本就一蹶不振、恐慌抛压会提高。 - ^) K' H: d+ q6 D' j
关于疑问、一一回复。 9 l, v5 W+ `1 R( t r; x( d# e
今天为何跌这么多，何时能抄底！ 6 i7 I$ N$ R* W! V% z- `
% ~- M, o m9 H4 u. U
首先就个人的主观来说、
. v1 L! B1 {0 U' m对这个市场，余勋有着无比强烈的信仰。
8 Q, b% |$ w3 z8 Z( j极度憧憬市场的未来！ # n+ M6 X* f$ J0 ~
但信仰在环境zc面前下，不值一提、
5 v6 q1 |7 i0 G. n, z最不济，要明白一个道理。君子不立危墙之下、 1 k- c, q, m4 } p
而当下，或许就是市场最难度的阶段。
* e- Y1 b0 r2 T O2 k9 x3 O% A/ I会不会过去、肯定会。但给一点时间。
. i# x, ]$ q3 Y转点就在CPI稳定，或出现下降。 7 O! _- I$ s/ \7 g2 F
其次出现降息，和停止抽水。 : R" }4 w; e# x5 T
（这是最精准的抄底时机，） 1 @% p% y2 W x: G$ X8 b3 Y& @- j
为什么会跌、
) F: c6 _4 F4 p' @1 |; l) P! n1cpi不降反升、加息压力提高。市场面临进一步抽水，或延长周期抽水。
! ]1 e' {8 Q, E' u2本月14-15议息，提前预判会更鹰派，提前消化。
9 o- b4 i2 @8 L3以太在1100-1250有近10亿借贷清算、
& f4 |& Y7 E f" E3 l综上造成的下跌、 ! L9 y6 `7 y- A7 D
这是一轮由膨胀问题带来的熊市、 . O6 E" {0 P) X
也是21年放水大牛市的带来的反噬。
9 ` A5 Z+ {4 q$ @熊市不可言底、所有一切只能通过cpi可控。 " C6 r& H/ e8 e" o
来决定行情是否好转。 ! O/ _* Y( \" W, C l" R
至于短线、大饼单日跌幅达10%。 6 M8 h8 ]! r) ~1 s4 d" t
在熊市阶段，出现暴力反弹，可能性为0. $ M7 a9 t9 V6 Q% F
短线反弹即空，短期来看是硬道理。
" ?; |# j/ g9 W! b周二开始会议、cpi压力，绝对更是鹰派言论、 ! Z6 d* `* W' d4 s# n4 o
那周一白盘、反弹就空。但不可追空、
2 J! \& I9 B4 \9 U& j, y' m; C看好近期，大饼形成超级支撑，与上月横盘一致。 ( t W# {5 m6 Q# d1 ]
日内大饼反弹、 " k- n4 E% ~/ _/ S' _
26150高空 # `: W' ~9 ^- I0 Q$ {( R
26350补仓
1 W1 n, H4 a8 v* J' p w5 B26550防守
4 m" X" w# y7 e7 e目标25250-25000 破位24800 轻微下看 3 T% f" o- T, _6 o1 {; i5 V
以太反弹
f- U6 X0 i3 B( S9 A1380高空 8 C. O7 m6 u" d( e6 o( g5 F$ r6 ]
1400补仓 , G1 j3 S2 e7 A, _9 K* k6 F
1420防守 + X: o; f# P. U, T( ^$ a; E
目标1320-1300、破位1280 轻微下看。 0 f5 ?- B) m! g; w* W
附言、
# N: H; }3 K, L) F8 ^- H许多因牛市慕名而来，却惨败于熊市阶段。 # W7 @" U/ K& ?) |' v4 I& i
是正常现象， " W4 ~3 E' s7 D" B- W
合格的交易者，会进行埋伏布局，现货也杜绝追涨杀跌。
6 F* {' a1 f5 o, l- A" F+ _/ T对于市场、依旧未来可期。 9 o& M" K, u8 O6 m8 R( d
大饼的价值，纵使震荡再过剧烈。 % F; n- \ c6 s& D
上轮牛市高点69000.绝对不是终点。
8 C, \* ~9 h1 X, c5月的cpi或许数据不够理想、但增幅并未大幅提高。 8 o+ Z% Z) Y$ Q! ?
6月、已开始50基点，和抽水。 ) L! W ~- V/ ^9 |" o" @
相信七月公布时，会较理想。 ' c- D- X3 N* u1 P! F% C9 S2 }
但现阶段，要承受的住。
5 u b3 S5 j* A* R3 M最后再强调、现货勿割。
' @; n+ C/ E" y: ^25000的大饼 1300的以太、 * r: @, Z+ Y( [, b: d
个人斗胆一言，依旧是激进布局时机。 1 ]& j. F v# I$ ?
稳健可于7月cpi公布，再做考虑。 + l1 i/ H8 g6 u! C
这个市场， % y7 T2 ~3 y1 \6 M& o
消息为首、情绪为辅、技术为次。
' V; G1 \3 h) C最后就是合理的仓位配置，及良好的心态。
& `9 \- z9 H L切记学会消息分析，不与市场进行对立。 ( t- X% \7 |( s6 u. c9 S' c5 m
但也要杜绝操作忌讳的盲点，引以为戒。
$ t& h4 l% B' I来源：金色财经 |
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