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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切(转)
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升,比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。. F. ?( _1 Z7 ~9 r% K; \6 V
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持,对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。6 t9 ^, B* ?& o$ V1 `8 G1 C
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。1 H1 R1 C$ N5 e. c& ^
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一方面,他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识,但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。- R' k9 F: q4 r) K, a
, W t0 A. M# _: p进入 比特币[BTC],在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高(ATH)。时机?简直乱糟糟的。
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) V1 R$ ~* C* [2 a8 R6 R+ T, N现在,BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。0 j* k* K/ b$ J# w/ n: p$ u7 D
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但据 AMBCrypto 称,经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音,经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
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5 d% z3 o0 i. Y+ s& T8 ED这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡,聪明的投资者会利用它?
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* [" A& M- u. h, n& k7 ~比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验0 Q: m' w* o e: I2 R& [
90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。4 f, f( n, M b& I6 _, |
5 ?" i$ J2 ~$ Z4 H1 Z7 q: j: D从 6 月 1 日开始,恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。3 `' e( F- R4 G
8 R. H# |$ t3 w1 l2 d, a7 J5 B自然,比特币做出了反应,大幅下跌 3.79%,收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
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9 Q* t& W( F r uGlassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元,是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。! h3 m" ?* M9 G6 g( C1 T
/ T6 v: ?) n- [2 E$ o0 K' L7 Y按当前价格计算,这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益,因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。+ c# y% y3 l. r7 C# r. J
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不过,由于流动性基础如此密集,且价格仅出现小幅下跌,此举可能不那么令人恐慌,而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。* p8 L: @1 D9 V0 a' }, F8 H
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正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。( E- ~( g. ]' m+ v
# x1 }; H% u/ h7 L) s经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
# T6 V5 I- I( B6 Y7 i1 E# p/ h+ w受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟,就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。9 } @: ?4 R! m* x- ^4 \
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针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头,美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在,但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议,市场并未等待解决方案。) d( O- b" Y, d3 O
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反应如何?迅速而残酷。" M# R: ^. c% R5 f0 [, Y4 U
6 v2 B% \ p8 b# o: W9 I+ M% C2 r短短五个交易日内,标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时,苹果延续了连续下跌的势头,过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。" h/ q* ]4 `0 Q. Q7 V
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这有什么大不了的?随着股市遭受打击,企业资金可能会转向比特币。9 o" U' a+ H4 R/ \. H
" c2 b' x/ |% x. U随着风险资本的流动,BTC 有望上涨,而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。
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