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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。
$ e+ ?0 C& [; S# Z大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
0 Q0 `: U0 n/ f8 v% A8 y; }尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。 V; k- g: |8 L6 y" ^" W! ]
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市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？
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随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。. S) @8 U6 k ^7 _
B+ r% Y! h9 Y6 k+ T, \牛un云蒙上阴影, N; f* |% d0 S( r9 v$ _3 v: {
最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。/ q) y* O8 e/ n! \: `% z6 ]8 `
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即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。
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这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。# V, Q3 t$ ~* Y; [: T2 U
6 q* s# g. K! A7 y尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。$ ~ B: i& J% }
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BTC背后的机构引擎( A' S& t0 T' a, |# Q" Q3 c9 z$ ^
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。+ t6 u1 M% {, f
! a* p e! @7 _2 c7 y5 ?这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。" m3 l L1 f/ m2 H4 I) j9 Z$ B" l
' N/ ?+ }; r% H3 N( v+ d5 z/ u与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。
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0 F7 \# b* Z# `; v/ W' @5 Q. D机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。# N. t/ S1 n% S
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怎么了？
6 Y9 c5 Q; c3 c0 `' f+ U尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。2 h- `* e2 L1 D x: c! ^* |
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2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。& q. @# @4 p# R; ^, b
; \0 ^+ N# R$ r" D2 q1 J8 i风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。
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( U; }/ S! x6 K7 o尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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