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[lastpost] => 2813579 美国2月未季调CPI年率将于今晚20:30公布，预期2.4%，前值2.4%（转） 1773287074 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。0 e3 Z9 P( T6 a4 i/ s$ t
4 z2 f" f" K# {) H' G由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。+ u0 W) i7 K4 ] J d) z8 z
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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. g' o9 {" U! A' P2 n* i" Y目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。, H1 E6 h7 x1 u% g
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。! u* C& T: I {; c
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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H @, q" @8 y- H+ w根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。 k2 |) g" P( b: R! Y
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。# {) T' u) u5 l: _4 u
% ^6 d9 F9 p( Q+ W! x仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。1 I k6 c7 P3 Z8 t7 h
2 `& F0 |5 @# O) u8 x- X) G: E9 p当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。9 a+ m$ Z7 z- v ?
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+ S6 ^4 e" {$ a( T, j/ H) o3 R比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微% Z; i W* e9 E& m
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。6 `7 ?) O0 }8 V5 ^
0 m0 p E4 d8 A本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。: \- B/ J" Y7 p& [6 B# w# ]5 g
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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; x4 y; d% k h ~! o* p现货交易商调整% y- s$ P" x' L# w( H$ g3 [/ F
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。: P. Y( C! Y1 {# [1 ]8 l3 R) S# u
' k, V4 W$ m! t2 o, x; h仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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