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[lastpost] => 2784957 比特币反弹逼近 92,000 美元——市场反应的原因如下(转) 1764235229 人生如赌
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在美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在上周的杰克逊霍尔研讨会上发表评论后,美国对比特币(BTC)的需求一直在增加。然而,这一增长并没有扩展到加密货币市场的其他领域。# E; A- s6 V$ |( X" F9 E
t# R! I5 k* g6 q2 X: p; `: z根据CryptoQuant的一份报告,BTC在投资者对美国的兴趣上升的背景下上涨,但比特币的整体需求增长处于较低水平,并且在过去几周一直为负。5 ]; _4 Z3 i; [) D$ @7 E* f
4 j$ Y7 T) n2 K2 v; c; J1 |; ^比特币在需求增加的情况下反弹
" \9 \8 F s+ o美国投资者对比特币需求的增加在Coinbase Premium的飙升中显而易见,该溢价飙升至0.11%,为7月以来的最高水平。这一指标的上升表明,美国投资者对本地交易平台的需求高于国外交易所。
" w8 w/ I4 f# v1 [6 w
* n4 a; X. q) oCryptoQuant表示,这表明比特币已经开始从非美国交易平台流向Coinbase,这一趋势通常在牛市期间出现,也表明比特币价格呈上升趋势。1 Y$ o7 d5 k3 ]$ l c. f8 Z: x. {
3 _, V4 D, I& q* _7 C1 ]% D
衡量Coinbase和其他交易所之间BTC净流量一年累计总和的交易所间流量脉冲(IFP)指标也有所上涨,这表明该资产正流入美国的加密货币平台,以应对美国的价格溢价和更高的需求。
( W% p! c0 F( ]% _" P( p9 O1 K
- m/ c- J) _+ Z/ v& Q此外,永久期货市场对比特币的需求随着未平仓合约的增加而增加。OI飙升约10000 BTC至276000 BTC,表明交易员正在开立新的多头头寸,买入订单主导了卖出订单。5 @7 U; t. |7 J" l+ k2 d/ u( V
( V! Z# d4 g ^: T% O- M+ z
表观需求仍然为负+ G# A5 B& U: S+ M0 R8 k% P
随着美国对比特币需求的增加,其基础价格上涨了6%,从6万美元升至6.5万美元,为8月2日以来的最高水平。尽管出现了这种反弹,但投资者并没有大量获利回吐。这从5.36亿美元的已实现利润中可以看出,与今年当地市场创下的数十亿美元的数字相去甚远。
, n' u! x" A- N& e
3 h6 |4 i& c0 C. V6 A$ @ c此外,比特币30天的表观需求增长已从4月初的496000 BTC降至36000 BTC的负值。表观需求是每日比特币区块补贴总额与一年或更长时间内未移动的比特币数量每日变化之间的差额。
! P% |4 T' E+ }6 V- I8 M( l! ~2 s) M% O0 k
CryptoQuant坚持认为,加密市场需要增加比特币的明显需求,然后价格才能完全恢复并反弹至新高。
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