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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四6 s9 j7 }. X- ^! ]5 f l8 g3 N
( F2 o, t8 i/ \2 k) H正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
1 T0 h/ N8 O: z' W- S+ {$ L2 T
6 }7 [7 u2 z; q( m, G# D比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公8 [3 ~7 C d, i7 \$ `+ @
S6 O- e5 y2 @/ J( u7 R8 ?- q
司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。- ]8 e! r" x. G( |5 w, s9 W
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
1 Q0 M* m" h9 N7 C1 F! W" M
2 ^! p. N; K" N特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金3 j3 q Z) N( c; Y
* @8 e6 v' J2 c5 v/ }7 O
(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。- b9 I$ w! c8 J2 A) C$ }
; `1 S* M1 ^0 i$ w7 R) n$ k: ]" F
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货+ T7 L. x3 T: M7 R: L8 P
7 D+ r B+ J5 F币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，
6 n, {, m- t: B% c" ?. G& ^3 A2 F; `
1 [# i& t, ` p# [1 ~并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。8 l8 _ z7 E5 E7 z4 f
& p; S' V. L8 R0 v, L! W" E; Q; E
“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
( [2 r9 ~( f9 f, Q" l! |4 f6 U* S5 j, U) h, c
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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) c* t$ t' e+ ~! j0 J# f9 z格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大! z" T% N& H$ b" L" I/ V4 }
$ a% ~8 J# ^: k* z: W. \7 [力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，$ a* J) q. |+ ?5 r; A
! y. `/ l. D' ]) W2 |4 `+ ~2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。; V- b' d& w$ H: V
# j7 b7 s" ^2 y* K( ~8 N自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
+ |6 r5 B' g; U6 q' e5 [8 X5 K) x6 a1 l* g; M
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。% w5 W. g, j" Q6 ^) q
, B3 k( z2 d# p' Q" W* J) c" ?“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下2 J0 ~- {* z+ f+ f
) `( ?2 I0 s5 o7 o. r降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
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* p. k( t. o: B- j% A4 t会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。0 b4 r" s+ m8 r2 L4 f
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