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小分3种情况:
; [) a& Z6 i' e$ Y9 ^6 N' o9 z' s1 N$ a
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
4 O/ i+ V7 x3 X3 `% a7 Q2 V1 ], ?0 U1 m1 e, @
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。
" v& E Q; r) x2 _7 z% E( z$ y; G# S; b
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。# S% f5 ~+ ^( [$ k1 b) h
5 \) E! l( x9 o" o) @2张牌8或9点的情况有:0 J) ]9 N' M7 Q) h" u4 r# k
/ [0 Z/ G2 P1 |! h+ _% y0 A$ K- ?1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10 X6 r, ]- F8 i6 y. t6 }8 V3 E
0 q3 l8 l$ V4 i- U* |6 O& y1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4154 _) H- P0 B4 c' ^1 O6 o
7 P6 ~$ N& k$ ?2 U" } G- v5 G4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415/ Z& [' n+ ` v1 \, v* J, ?
( I6 g: V# n/ l$ Y( z; } q% P8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415
& ?( l8 _3 Y2 G5 `- v/ Z' P" T) e. r) R
由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。5 x2 H6 r- T0 g4 r0 ^
9 P7 e/ X+ b+ `
通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。( B* D" K2 R" B6 |% q# j
0 \6 W$ ?5 v$ c' ?( l, F+ w那么我们可以得出
& v3 s' @; a( l. p# }1 Y5 P& M
4 u& z! U; O% [6 f1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662$ @' m! W, p9 b2 ?
2 v- v/ M, \; N+ {1 ]7 b" {: v" f7 N2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
! P+ r6 E& M: J9 T( n/ o6 y- X" q6 Q: t
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491: G9 L: s, G+ v( k; R0 T
" `" H6 r2 `& {# | E
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693233 g. o) |) W3 v& Y; n, h8 X6 a
5 r% a/ U- O* [2 ]9 R" _百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
9 l) Z4 w: E2 g' A! b# d, J |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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