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[lastpost] => 2750291 山寨币季来临：以太坊表现优于比特币 24%（转） 1752847244 人生如赌
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。) T8 S" R: O+ T, e3 ^. H A5 }7 E
比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
% ~# }& j7 d0 H8 d, Z比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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8 j; t. Q. m: p尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。9 @4 F$ \9 n1 Q" z" I8 o( J, O
, q: U- ?: {& w: z5 e+ \5 U/ o鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
$ `: K, y5 m2 L0 a鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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) E, |1 G6 y2 p( _但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。1 d# g# |0 |7 S- z7 e5 ?) \
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因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。5 o+ m$ R( S+ m4 F$ G
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最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。% p9 O) J8 K! z7 G/ ~1 }4 C' |# F
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这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突0 q7 K7 R" b+ U! G, }% `. d8 J7 X
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。+ H3 M/ ?( A2 i7 V- R
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 4 j+ c6 g$ B( @ `) J) y! K' g: u* ?
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。% L+ N% |% }& K& H0 X
) N( p8 i' ?* J此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。
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2 J: R- Z0 _0 T) a2 w. b4 m! ^如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。
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; c# j/ p6 X+ H+ L1 I结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。+ R" U0 h( C' S+ I$ s7 b
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？ h6 R9 k* g: h& c2 u+ Q
比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 2 U5 J2 m- f7 Y' F1 W2 k: w0 N
& ]* t' L* q: y但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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